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I'm Deputy Helen Lewis.

Hello and welcome to the New Statesman podcast. I'm Deputy Helen Lewis and this week I talked to George Eaton and Raphael Bear about the year and view and force them to make some predictions for 2014.

Then Ian Stedman and I talk about memes along with our political editor and George Eaton, editor of The Stagers, to discuss the year in review.

So, George, there's been a lot of kind of chatter this morning about the fact that the polls have shifted all over the

place in the course of the year but essentially Labour are pretty much back where they

started about six points ahead mostly. Yeah they have a small but stubborn lead and the big

points in their favour is still all those Lib Dems who went over in 2010 some of them have gone back but not enough for the Tories to close the

gap and not enough of their supporters have come out from

UKIP. Plus their structural advantage due to the fact the way the boundary changes work

mean that... Absolutely. Was it... They have to be seven points ahead the conserves?

Yeah, they have to be seven points ahead to get a majority.

And Raff, you've written in your column this week about the idea that both Cameron and

...