4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 28 April 2023
⏱️ 10 minutes
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0:00.0 | markets have they been too quiet lately. |
0:15.0 | Have they been too quiet? |
0:17.0 | This is the markets, a new series from Goldman Sachs exchanges. |
0:21.0 | Hi, I'm Sam Grobart. |
0:24.0 | Today, I'm joined by Sharon Bell from our research group in London. |
0:27.0 | We're going to talk about the common markets, European stocks, |
0:31.0 | and her insights from the latest round of earnings reports. |
0:34.7 | Sharon, thanks so much for joining us today. |
0:37.0 | Thank you, Sam. |
0:38.3 | So Sharon, U.S. equity volatility has been hovering around the lowest level since the end of 2021, according to the VIX Index. |
0:47.0 | Why do you think things are so subdued? |
0:49.0 | I think partly it's because the action has been in the last year or so on inflation and interest |
0:55.2 | rates it's been the Fed that's been doing a lot of the work in this last 12 months rather than |
1:01.4 | so much on gross risks and therefore less on equities more on rates. |
1:06.7 | Generally to get a sharp spike in equity volatility you need to be looking at a |
1:11.4 | recession quite near term and so far with the emphasis on so far growth has been okay |
1:17.6 | That said clearly the economy is slowing and we don't think equity volatility will stay this low. |
1:23.4 | A little bit depends on the stocks within the market and the US market's quite |
1:27.0 | concentrated in those big cap tech stocks that we all know about and I think they've |
1:31.9 | been doing quite well and that's cushion volatility as well. |
1:34.4 | It does seem like there has been a little bit of a push pull hasn't there been between those bigger |
1:38.4 | as you were just describing those sort of mega cap tech stocks as opposed to perhaps other parts like say some regional banks right? |
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