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Marketplace All-in-One

The last reading on inflation before the election

Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace

News, Business

4.51.4K Ratings

🗓️ 31 October 2024

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This morning, the central bank’s preferred measure of inflation — the personal consumption expenditures price index, or PCE — came out and clocked in at 2.1% annually in September. With fuel and energy prices stripped out, the index was up 2.7%. What should we make of these figures? Then, if former President Donald Trump is re-elected, he’s promising steep tariffs on goods entering the U.S. We’ll explore the knock-on effects.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Tariff, a most beautiful word or inflation on a stick.

0:07.0

I'm David Brancaccio. First, the last reading on inflation before the election and the

0:12.1

Fed's interest rate meeting next week

0:14.0

is out this morning. This is the Central Bank's preferred measure of inflation,

0:17.8

personal consumption expenditures. It is up 2.1% in a year using September's numbers.

0:24.4

With fuel and energy prices out of the way,

0:26.8

the index was up 2.7% in a year.

0:29.4

For more, let's get an expert view from Diane Swank,

0:32.2

chief economist at the audit tax and

0:33.8

advisory firm KPMG. Morning. Good morning. Well you couldn't make prices

0:39.7

go down which is what people actually want but inflation but inflation number was better than expected

0:46.3

up rose 0.2% after a slight uptick from the 0.1% pace of August but year on year year, 2.09, we're now going out to those two decimal places.

0:57.6

That's about as close to 2% the Fed's target as we've been since inflation started to accelerate in early 2021.

1:06.0

Again a movement in the right direction for the Federal Reserve, we will see the

1:10.7

Fed cutting rates again next week.

1:13.2

Now we also got a quarterly reading on what employers are paying the employees, but part of that

1:20.0

is how much the employees are getting done productivity.

1:23.0

Exactly and what we saw in that was it moved down from 4.1% to 3.9%.

1:28.4

Again a cooling of costs which is very important for the Fed, and what happens going forward with inflation.

1:35.6

So this should give the Federal Reserve some more confidence in how the economy is performing.

1:41.5

And I think that's very important.

1:43.0

Another big economic release prior to the election and the Fed meeting will be the hiring and

...

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