The Labor Market Proves Much Weaker
The Brian Lehrer Show
WNYC
4.6 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 10 September 2025
⏱️ 24 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | It's the Brian Laird Show on WNYC. Good morning again, everyone. So as you know, every month, |
| 0:17.3 | the government, federal government, releases a jobs report, right? Numbers Wall Street, the Federal Reserve, and the White House all watch closely for many reasons. |
| 0:26.0 | But this week, we learned those numbers have been way, way off. |
| 0:30.9 | The Bureau of Labor Statistics annual revision, when they do once a year, found the economy |
| 0:37.0 | added 911,000 fewer jobs in the year |
| 0:41.7 | ending in March than first reported. |
| 0:44.7 | That means growth that looks solid at the end of the Biden administration, the very beginning |
| 0:48.8 | of the Trump administration, was in fact much weaker. |
| 0:51.9 | And the news arrives just weeks after President Trump famously fired |
| 0:56.5 | the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It covers, as I say, the final stretch of the Biden |
| 1:02.3 | administration in the first months of Trump's second term. It also comes at a moment when hiring |
| 1:08.2 | has slowed in the present. unemployment has ticked up, |
| 1:12.4 | and even the reliability of the numbers themselves is becoming a political issue, right? |
| 1:17.7 | There are concerns Trump will politicize the numbers so much as to make them meaningless. |
| 1:23.3 | He has also floated the idea of ending the monthly jobs report, and we'll talk about that, |
| 1:28.5 | among other things, with our guest, Ben Castleman, Chief Economics correspondent for the New York |
| 1:33.6 | Times. Ben, welcome back to WNIC. Hi. |
| 1:37.2 | Thanks for having me. Great to be here. |
| 1:38.9 | So briefly, because I want to get to underlying issues, this 911,000 fewer jobs revision in the year ending in March, how unusual is that? |
| 1:51.8 | So I think it's worth taking just a second on sort of what this is, right? |
| 1:55.6 | As you say, there are these monthly numbers that come out, you know, every month that we all pay attention to. |
| 2:07.6 | Those are based on a survey. It's a huge survey, right? This isn't like a political survey of, you know, a few hundred or a few thousand people. This is hundreds of thousands of businesses. But it's a survey, right? And so it is imperfect as an estimate. And so once a year, the BLS, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, aligns those numbers with the much harder sort of real numbers, but that are less timely, that come from state unemployment agencies, right? |
... |
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