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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

The Labor Market Is Still Intact

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 4 November 2022

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

U.S. stocks opened higher but drifted lower through the trading day, digesting an October nonfarm payrolls report that showed a still-strong labor market in the aftermath of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s forceful rejection of “pivot” talk earlier this week and ahead of crucial midterm elections next week. Traders are now pricing in a 5.25% peak policy rate via the June 2023 swap contract. “I don’t think this changes anything in the Fed’s calculation,” noted Peter Boockvar in response to the jobs report, “but I do believe the trend in the unemployment rate is now going higher and will be 4%-plus soon.” Boockvar, the chief investment officer of Bleakly Advisory Group, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about when the Fed might finally change, or at least pause, its current policy path and the implications of Tuesday’s voting in the U.S. We also hear from Alexander Stahel about why U.S. immunity to the global energy crisis is an illusion. Watch the full conversation featuring Alexander Stahel and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/3WzREk0. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by Shopify.

0:03.0

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0:07.0

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0:12.0

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0:17.0

So sign up for a £1 per month trial period at Shopify.co.uk

0:23.0

Ask podcast 23 all lowercase and take your business to the next level today.

0:36.0

Happy Friday folks.

0:38.0

It is almost beer o'clock now but let's nerd macro for a bit in the real vision

0:43.0

daily briefing before we open the beer cans.

0:45.0

My name is Anta Estino, I'm the host at Real Vision and it is today the 4th of October

0:51.0

and we're sending to you lives on the heels of the monthly job report in the U.S.

0:55.0

Another solid reading.

0:58.0

Another solid reading this month packing the question.

1:01.0

What pivot from the Federal Reserve and with me to discuss the week in U.S.

1:06.0

macro have got a macro heavyweighter.

1:09.0

Peter Pugwa, the CIO of Bleakly Advisory Group.

1:12.0

Peter, good to see you.

1:15.0

Great to see you as well.

1:17.0

Thanks for having me back.

1:19.0

Thank you.

1:20.0

261,000 jobs added in the U.S.

1:23.0

Economy over the past month.

...

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