3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 24 July 2025
⏱️ 5 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis. |
0:09.7 | Good afternoon, today is Thursday, July 24th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. Our top stories so far. |
0:15.4 | Sticking with our summer movie theme, just like Jason Voorhees, the job market just keeps coming back when everyone declares it dead. |
0:22.1 | Initial jobless claims this week posted another unexpected drop, falling to their lowest level since April. |
0:27.7 | Claims declined by 4,000 to 217,000 from 221,000 in the prior week, and lower than the 227,000 |
0:34.7 | consensus. |
0:35.7 | That's the fourth week in a row the number of people filing for unemployment benefits |
0:39.3 | either unexpectedly declined or was weaker than consensus. |
0:42.3 | And it indicates that the labor market isn't deteriorating much, |
0:45.3 | giving the Federal Reserve the ability to keep rates on hold as it assesses the effects of tariffs on inflation. |
0:51.3 | Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, says, |
0:58.7 | this is a frozen labor market. The good news is layoffs are not picking up. New unemployment claims ticked down last week and are staying at a low level this summer, but it is also |
1:02.7 | not easy to find a job right now outside of health care, education, and law enforcement. The four-week |
1:07.4 | average of $224,500 was a decrease of $5,000 from the prior week's average of 229-500. |
1:14.6 | Continuing claims increased to 1.955 million from 1.951 million, lower than the 1.96 million forecast. |
1:21.9 | Pantheon macroeconomist Oliver Allen argues that auto shutdowns distort the picture, and the labor |
1:26.9 | market is likely still loosening, |
1:28.7 | but he adds, admittedly underlying claims also seem to have dipped lately, at least compared to the |
1:33.2 | recent peak in early June. For investors, the fallen claims is good news. Society General |
1:37.9 | recently indicated that claims above 250,000 would put the risk rally across many asset classes |
1:43.4 | in jeopardy, as claims around |
1:45.0 | $300,000 are usually a precursor of a recession. Among active stocks, American Airlines is slumping |
... |
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