The Invisible Primary - with Mike Murphy

Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

Ark Media

Society, October 7, Hamas, War, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Israel, News Commentary, News, Politics, Elections, Palestine, Dan Senor, Government

4.8 • 2.3K Ratings

🗓️ 8 May 2023

⏱️ 73 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

In this episode, we go deep on the current phase (the invisible primary) of the 2024 presidential primaries with Mike Murphy, who has worked on a number of presidential campaigns, as well as run 26 gubernatorial and US Senate races across the country. Murphy was a top strategist for John McCain, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, and Arnold Schwarzenegger. He’s a political analyst for NBC and MSNBC. He’s co-host of the critically acclaimed "Hacks on Tap" podcast. Mike is also co-director of the University of Southern California’s Center for the Political Future. Articles we discuss in this episode: Mike Murphy -- "Iowa Is a Big Problem for Trump" -- https://plus.thebulwark.com/p/iowa-is-a-big-problem-for-trump Matthew Yglesias -- "Ron DeSantis is struggling without the Covid issue" -- https://www.slowboring.com/p/ron-desantis-is-struggling-without

Transcript

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0:00.0	What is happening now is the invisible primary in a visible way to the hobbyist class
0:05.3	with a lot of cable noise that is moving poles around. The only poles I'm really watching
0:11.0	nationally are these polls that show what does Trump really have and
0:15.7	CBS has a new one which is I think a pretty good way to look at it you know I'm
0:20.6	for Trump till the end of time at around 24%. They have no Trump ever at around 23, 25 somewhere in there.
0:28.6	And then they have about 70% resonate to, you know, maybe Trump, but really maybe somebody else, kind of the,
0:36.2	let's move along, curious about others.
0:38.9	So that's the real race. days. One housekeeping note before today's episode. The next episode will be having on
0:56.8	Retired General H.R. McMaster, who is National Security Advisor in the Trump
1:02.0	administration and is currently at
1:03.6	Stanford University at the Hoover Institute. We'll be talking about a range of
1:07.2	national security issues from Russia and China to the Middle East. So if you
1:11.6	have questions, send them in. Just record a voice memo and send
1:16.2	it to Dan at unlocked.fm. That's Dan at unlocked.fm. keep it to under 30 seconds. Tell us your name and we will
1:25.7	select a couple of those questions for General McMaster.
1:29.2	Now on to today's conversation.
1:31.1	Welcome to the invisible primary of the next presidential election.
1:36.1	As we get deep into it, could it be that everybody is wrong about everything?
1:40.9	One of a Republican candidate loses party's nomination if he loses Iowa and New Hampshire?
1:46.0	Won't an incumbent president be in trouble of close to 30% of his party's primary voters are polling against them? That's right, 30% of primary voters are polling against him?
1:53.0	That's right, 30% of primary voters are polling against him
1:56.7	for his re-election.
	...

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