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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

The Iceman Goeth, Robots Cometh – Ep. 229

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

News, Business, Investing, Business News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 23 February 2017

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* The Dow finished with yet another gain today
* We closed at 20,775.60
* I've been told that this is the longest consecutive winning streak for the Dow Jones since 1987
* Of course, we all remember how that streak came to a crashing end in October with the 1987 stock market crash
* We'll see if the market has better luck this time around
* We got the FOMC minutes released earlier today
* I think they were interpreted as being hawkish; remember, this is all on a relative scale, they're all doves now
* It is simply degrees of dovishness, there are no actual hawks on the FOMC or on any central bank
* The question is, "Who is more dovish and how dovish can you be?"
* But there were some statements that caused the markets to think, "Hey, maybe a rate hike is coming."
* Because I think the members said it would be appropriate to raise rates sometime soon
* What is sometime soon?
* Is that March, or is that April, May or June?
* That's still soon, in the scheme of things
* If you look at how slowly the Fed has been moving
* Glacial speed, when it comes to raising rates
* Soon can certainly be a few months from now
* It doesn't necessarily mean that it is going to be March
* They could have said March - "It might be appropriate to raise rates in March"
* They didn't say March - they just said soon
* Nobody really knows what soon is
* They did comment that they thought the markets might interpret gradual rate increases as meaning only 1 or 2 rate hikes a year
* And they were troubled by that, because maybe by saying that, by gradual, they mean 3 a year
* Not 1 or 2
* I heard some people saying,
* "Maybe the Fed is not going to go slowly."
* Even if they do 3 - we're still talking very gradual rate hikes, especially if you put it in context of how low rates are right now and how high inflation is already
* I keep hearing these comments from Fed officials
* They're doing interviews and they're saying, "Yes, we're making progress; we're moving slowly toward our goal of 2% inflation."
* 2% inflation!  They left that in the dust
*  The last number we got in January showed a year over year increase of 2.5%
* So why are they saying they're making progress toward getting to 2% when they've already zoomed past it
* They're looking at it now in the rear view mirror
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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The Peter Schiff Show

0:05.0

Well the Dow finished with yet another gain today.

0:12.5

We close at what 20,770 something.

0:17.1

I've been told that this is the longest consecutive winning streak for the Dow Jones since 1987.

0:26.1

And of course we all remember how that streak came to a crashing end in October with the 1987 stock market crash.

0:34.4

So we'll see if the market has better luck this time around.

0:38.8

We got the FOMC minutes that were released earlier today.

0:44.0

And I think they were interpreted as being hawkish.

0:48.2

And remember this is all on a relative scale because they're all doves now.

0:52.2

It's simply degrees of dovishness.

0:54.8

There are no actual hawks on the FOMC or anywhere at any central bank.

1:00.1

They're all doves.

1:01.1

The question is, you know, who is more doves and how doves can you be?

1:06.0

But there were some statements that caused the market so they can maybe your rate hike is coming.

1:11.8

Because I think the members said that it would be appropriate to raise rates sometime soon.

1:17.7

Now what is sometime soon?

1:20.1

Is that March or is that April, May or June?

1:23.5

I mean, that's still soon in the scheme of things.

1:25.8

If you look at how slowly the Fed has been moving at a glacial speed when it comes to raising rates,

1:31.6

soon can certainly be a few months from now.

1:33.6

It doesn't necessarily mean that it's going to be March.

1:36.4

Now, if they could have said March, hey, it might be appropriate to raise rates in March.

...

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