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The Grant Williams Podcast

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 8 – Jonathan Kirshner

The Grant Williams Podcast

Grant Williams

Investing, Business:investing, Business

4.81.6K Ratings

🗓️ 21 August 2025

⏱️ 106 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I sit down with Jonathan Kirshner, a leading classical realist and scholar of international relations, for a wide-ranging discussion on realism, uncertainty, and America’s shifting role in global affairs. Jonathan outlines realism as a descriptive framework for understanding a world defined by anarchy—where no supreme authority exists—and the resulting unpredictability of state behaviour. We explore how changing geopolitical conditions are prompting nations, including the US, to more clearly articulate and pursue their national interests, touching on recent US foreign policy choices, the weakening of the dollar order, and the rise of personalist regimes and pluto-populism. The conversation draws on history to distinguish between risk and uncertainty, while warning of the dangers that arise when societies lose shared truths—making realism an essential lens for navigating today’s turbulent international landscape. This is a conversation that’s simply too good to miss. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Before we get going, here's the bit where I remind you that nothing we discussed should be considered as investment advice.

0:16.5

This conversation is for informational and hopefully entertainment purposes only.

0:20.6

So, while we hope you find it both informative and entertaining, please do your own research

0:25.6

or speak to a financial advisor before putting a dime of your money into these crazy markets.

0:30.6

And now, on with the show. Welcome everybody to another edition of the 100 Year Pevert,

0:45.5

joining me my co-host on this little journey,

0:49.1

the wonderful Dmitri Kofinas.

0:51.4

Hello, Dimitri, how are you, my friend?

0:52.9

I'm great. How are you, Grant?

0:54.2

I am wonderful. I'm really looking forward to this conversation we got coming up. I heard a guest on your podcast first, and I found him compelling and captivating an equal measure, so I'm thrilled to get the chance to talk to him on this podcast with you today. Me too, man. I'm a huge fan of Jonathan's work. I don't remember how I discovered his book.

1:11.7

I think it was called an unwritten future.

1:14.5

But he's a classical realist, as I think you mentioned.

1:17.8

And, you know, people, a lot of people became familiar with the realist school after the

1:23.5

Russian invasion of Ukraine because John Meersheimer went like super viral with like a speech he gave

1:29.4

that he delivered to, I think it was Chicago University where he teaches. And John's been on the podcast

1:34.0

before, as has Stephen Walt, another prominent realist. But it was so interesting to me about

1:38.2

Jonathan's perspective on realism and he calls himself a classical realist is that it resembles

1:43.7

much more the sort of early thinking

1:46.3

of the early political economists and philosophers.

1:50.2

And specifically, it gives an enormous amount of latitude to uncertainty.

1:55.8

And to those, who's the British statesman that said,

1:58.2

they asked them what happened?

...

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