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The Story

The historian who picked nearly every winner calls the US election

The Story

The Times

Politics, Uk News, News, Long-form Audio, Global News, In-depth Journalism, Daily News, Exclusive Interviews, Audio Storytelling, News Analysis, Current Affairs, Investigative Reporting, Daily News Podcast

3.91.6K Ratings

🗓️ 30 September 2024

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For 40 years, Professor Allan Lichtman has honed a near-perfect system for picking the next American president. It was inspired by a Soviet seismologist - but how does he do it? And who is he putting his money on this time?

This podcast was brought to you thanks to the support of readers of The Times and The Sunday Times. Subscribe today: thetimes.com/subscribe

  

Guest: Professor Allan Lichtman, author of Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House.

Host: Manveen Rana. 


Clips: France 24, Fox News, CNN, ABC News.

Episode artwork: Getty Images

Get in touch: thestory@thetimes.com

This podcast was brought to you thanks to subscribers of The Times and The Sunday Times. To enjoy unlimited digital access to all our journalism subscribe here.


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Transcript

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offer terms apply, ISA and tax rules apply. From the Times and the Sunday Times, this is one thing that a deeply divided America can agree on.

2:02.0

This is an unb close race. And so,

2:07.8

cue the deluge of polls. The opinion polls are perhaps the only way for us to get any kind of insight into what the electorate is thinking.

2:16.0

At the moment, well, let's believe that Carol Harris has leading Donald Trump by 5 percentage points.

2:21.0

The latest Fox News polling shows Harris ahead by two points nationally, 50 to 48.

2:26.0

Those numbers flip though when you look only at battleground states.

2:29.5

Arizona, Donald Trump up by five points.

2:31.9

Georgia were characterizing it is no clear

2:33.7

leader but he's got four points ahead of Kamala Harris and in the great state of

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