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Animal Spirits Podcast

The High Beta Crash (EP.232)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Investing, Business, News, Business News

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 24 November 2021

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show we discuss why the stock market doesn't care about inflation (yet), the growth stock massacre, how corporations are taking advantage of inflation, the new frontiers in crypto, some career advice for The Rock and much more. Find complete shownotes on our blogs... Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor Like us on Facebook And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts.

0:03.5

Last week's show, we talked about how retail sales continue to be otherworldly,

0:08.5

up like 15%.

0:10.4

And a lot of people said, okay, that's fine.

0:12.7

What about inflation?

0:14.0

Boom.

0:14.6

Now show inflation after...

0:16.4

Pre-1980.

0:17.6

Pre-1980.

0:18.5

Now show after inflation is the new now show Japan.

0:21.8

So Y-charts actually has US real retail sales, real meaning after inflation.

0:27.6

They actually have it on a year-over-year basis.

0:29.4

So you take out the high and the low from the pandemic,

0:32.2

which you had this huge crater, and then you had this huge spike.

0:36.0

So those sort of offset each other.

0:38.0

The prints are still coming in hot.

0:39.1

So after inflation, US retail sales are still up over 8%.

0:43.8

That's the highest level, again, after inflation since 1999,

0:48.7

which is the highest level it's been pre-pandemic before.

0:51.7

So I get it, inflation is running hot,

0:54.1

and that's skewing a lot of numbers.

0:56.2

But people are still spending a ton of money right now

...

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