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Intelligence Matters

The Health, Economic and Political Effects of COVID-19 in Iran: Karim Sadjadpour

Intelligence Matters

CBS News

(154991), News, Cbs, Politics, Government

4.63.3K Ratings

🗓️ 20 May 2020

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of Intelligence Matters, host Michael Morell speaks with Karim Sadjadpour, Iran policy analyst and senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Morell and Sadjadpour review the effects of the spread of coronavirus within Iran, including the toll it has taken on senior leadership and the unrest it has generated among its populace. Sadjadpour also discusses Iran's behavior regionally and vis a vis the United States following the January killing of General Qassem Soleimani. He tells Morell why the virus outbreak may accelerate Iran's transition to a military dictatorship and why a change in U.S. policy may not prompt a different reaction from Tehran.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:05.6

Download the app today.

0:09.0

This is Intelligence Matters with former acting director of the CIA, Michael Morel.

0:14.1

Brought to you by Lockheed Martin.

0:16.3

Your mission is ours.

0:18.4

The Supreme Leader, he was initially very skeptical of COVID-19.

0:22.4

He said it's not that big of a deal.

0:24.8

And then when so many top officials in Iran contracted it, he came out and essentially

0:30.4

alleged this was a conspiracy theory.

0:33.1

This was, you know, biological weapon, ostensibly launched by the United States to weaken Iran

0:38.7

and to weaken China.

0:40.4

And by calling it a biological weapon, he gave himself the pretext to appoint a revolutionary

0:46.3

guard commander rather than a physician to lead the task force against COVID-19.

0:52.1

So in my sense is that what's happening at least in the near term is not that this virus

0:57.8

is bringing down the Islamic Republic, but is accelerating Iran's transition to military

1:03.2

dictatorship.

1:06.0

On the COVID front, right, there's a possibility that the Iranians could look at the U.S.

1:13.1

being inwardly focused and perceive an opportunity.

1:17.2

Or at the same time see the president in some political trouble as a result of COVID here

1:22.8

and be somewhat fearful that he might want to pick a fight with them.

1:27.0

Early on when the world and obviously the United States was consumed in the early days of

1:33.4

the pandemic, Iran did launch, Iran's proxies and Iraq launched a military attack against

...

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