The Great Lag
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 15 October 2023
⏱️ 25 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | And so the result of that, essentially, is that it's super lagging. |
| 0:05.0 | Like, today the Fed would say that, like, I think, I don't remember, |
| 0:10.0 | but I think that, you know, Renser are currently 5%, |
| 0:14.0 | and there's a slowly getting down to where they should be, |
| 0:18.0 | which is 3%, on the ground, they're negative 2.5%. |
| 0:25.0 | I'm Mary Long, and that's Ben Miller, co-founder and CEO of Fundrise, |
| 0:29.0 | a real estate investment platform. |
| 0:31.0 | He's also a returning guest to Motley Fool Money. |
| 0:34.0 | Dieter Willard checked in with Miller for a chat about what real estate data says about inflation, |
| 0:39.0 | the boom in artificial intelligence investing, and the great lag between the Fed and the economy. |
| 0:48.0 | We'd last chatted a tail end of last year, |
| 0:51.0 | and you were putting out some gloomy podcasts and forecasts about future real estate credit |
| 0:56.0 | and this phenomenon that you called the great de-leveraging. |
| 0:59.0 | So tell us, what is the great de-leveraging, and what do you see right now? |
| 1:05.0 | Wow, yeah, so that thesis was that your interest rate policy for 15 years |
| 1:14.0 | and quantitative easing led to an excess amount of debt build-up. |
| 1:20.0 | And as that debt build-up came comes due in a new higher interest rate environment, |
| 1:27.0 | people have to pay down the amount of debt they have, right? |
| 1:30.0 | Because used to have a 3% mortgage instead, you have a 7% mortgage, |
| 1:34.0 | which means that if you're a company or you're a commercial borrower, |
| 1:39.0 | and some individuals just can't support that, |
| 1:42.0 | and they're going to have to pay down or sell. |
... |
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