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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Great Lag

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Investing, Business

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 15 October 2023

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Federal Reserve may act on a forward looking basis, but the bank isn’t always quick in action. Ben Miller is the co-founder and CEO of Fundrise, a real estate investment platform. Deidre Woollard caught up with Miller to discuss: - How slow reaction times from the Fed impact the economy. - The home equity buffer. - Opportunities in innovative investing. - The AI boom in private markets and start-ups. Company discussed: NVDA Host: Deidre Woollard Guest: Ben Miller Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Rick Engdahl  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

And so the result of that, essentially, is that it's super lagging.

0:05.0

Like, today the Fed would say that, like, I think, I don't remember,

0:10.0

but I think that, you know, Renser are currently 5%,

0:14.0

and there's a slowly getting down to where they should be,

0:18.0

which is 3%, on the ground, they're negative 2.5%.

0:25.0

I'm Mary Long, and that's Ben Miller, co-founder and CEO of Fundrise,

0:29.0

a real estate investment platform.

0:31.0

He's also a returning guest to Motley Fool Money.

0:34.0

Dieter Willard checked in with Miller for a chat about what real estate data says about inflation,

0:39.0

the boom in artificial intelligence investing, and the great lag between the Fed and the economy.

0:48.0

We'd last chatted a tail end of last year,

0:51.0

and you were putting out some gloomy podcasts and forecasts about future real estate credit

0:56.0

and this phenomenon that you called the great de-leveraging.

0:59.0

So tell us, what is the great de-leveraging, and what do you see right now?

1:05.0

Wow, yeah, so that thesis was that your interest rate policy for 15 years

1:14.0

and quantitative easing led to an excess amount of debt build-up.

1:20.0

And as that debt build-up came comes due in a new higher interest rate environment,

1:27.0

people have to pay down the amount of debt they have, right?

1:30.0

Because used to have a 3% mortgage instead, you have a 7% mortgage,

1:34.0

which means that if you're a company or you're a commercial borrower,

1:39.0

and some individuals just can't support that,

1:42.0

and they're going to have to pay down or sell.

...

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