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The Grant Williams Podcast

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 102 - Warren Pies

The Grant Williams Podcast

Grant Williams

Business, Business:investing, Investing

4.8 • 1.6K Ratings

🗓️ 17 May 2025

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I’m joined by Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research to unpack the challenges of investing in a world defined by policy shocks, geopolitical uncertainty, and persistent volatility. His data-driven approach allows Warren to cut through the noise of political unpredictability—particularly around Trump-era tariffs—and we focus the conversation on market signals, sentiment shifts, and technical indicators in today’s unstable landscape. From the precarious relationship between bonds and equities to the evolving role of the U.S. dollar, Warren offers a grounded yet insightful take on where the real risks—and opportunities—lie. We dive deep into sector dynamics, especially the misunderstood signals coming from oil and credit markets, and Warren explains how quantitative models can help investors adapt to a regime defined by monetary debasement. With a candid look at sentiment extremes and capital flow inertia, Warren frames the U.S. not as a market without problems, but as the “cleanest dirty shirt” in a soiled global wardrobe—still investable, but only for those prepared to stay agile. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Before we get going, here's the bit where I remind you that nothing we discussed should be considered as investment advice.

0:16.4

This conversation is for informational and hopefully entertainment purposes only.

0:20.5

So, while we hope you find

0:21.7

it both informative and entertaining, please do your own research or speak to a financial advisor

0:27.1

before putting a dime of your money into these crazy markets.

0:35.3

You're about to listen to a special preview edition of the Grant Williams podcast featuring

0:39.7

Warren Pires of 314 research, a long overdue conversation. Warren's data-driven approach

0:46.0

has been very useful and very helpful in a crazy world, so hopefully you'll enjoy this

0:51.3

conversation with him as much as I did.

0:57.6

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including the end game, the super-triffic happy hour, the narrative game, this week in Doom, shifts happen, chaos theory, and my

1:01.7

news series with Dmitri Kofenis, the 100-year pivot, is available to copper and silver tier

1:06.0

subscribers at my website, grant-dash-williams.com.

1:09.5

Copper tier subscribers get access to all the podcasts,

1:12.4

while members of the Silver Tier get by the podcast

1:14.5

and my monthly newsletter, things that make you go, hmm.

1:17.3

So, if you enjoy what you're on the show,

1:19.5

and you'd like more high-quality content like it,

1:21.6

then please make your way over to grant-wiliams.com

1:23.8

and join our exciting community today.

1:26.6

And now on with the show.

1:37.5

Warren, welcome to the podcast.

1:38.7

I've been looking forward to this for some time.

...

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