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The Compound and Friends

The Four Most Important Market Indicators (with Josh and Tom Lee)

The Compound and Friends

Josh Brown

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.72.2K Ratings

🗓️ 13 November 2019

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Josh here - I really enjoyed talking with former JPMorgan strategist and the founder of Fundstrat Research about how he uses the evidence to understand what's happening in the markets.  Tom cites four indicators he uses to explain current trends and think about where markets and the economy might be headed. Among them, credit spreads, demographics and volatility.  Tom also talks about his bullish stance and why he isn't terribly worried about the yield curve inversion we saw this summer.  You can learn more about Tom's work at the site:  https://fsinsight.com/ Follow Tom Lee on Twitter here: https://twitter.com/fundstrat 1-click play or subscribe on your favorite podcast app   Subscribe to the mini podcast on iTunes or Spotify    Enable our Alexa skill here - "Alexa, play the Compound show!"   Talk to us about your portfolio or financial plan here:  http://ritholtzwealth.com/   Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice just for you or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Please see this 3,000 word terms & conditions disclaimer: https://thereformedbroker.com/terms-and-conditions/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey it's downtown Josh Brown. I'm here with my guest today Tom Lee.

0:03.9

Tom is the former chief strategist at J.P. Morgan. He is the co-founder and head of

0:09.8

research at Funstrat. Tom is going to tell us about the most important indicators and things he looks at to

0:16.4

understand what's happening in the market.

0:18.2

Stick around, this is going to be great.

0:20.6

First of all, thanks for coming up, coming down. You're in the 50s?

0:24.0

Yep, in the 50s. Okay. I've been reading your stuff for 10 years and one of the things I've found

0:30.2

most interesting about your work is that you've been almost consistently

0:35.5

bullish throughout this entire what I call a secular bull market and you've been

0:40.7

mostly right and there have been times where you didn't look right because markets were getting more volatile than what we're accustomed to, but you've pretty much stayed the course.

0:51.0

And I think people who have listened to you on balance have done better

0:53.8

than people who have listened to some of the more hysterical or gloomy voices

1:00.2

out there. Do you give yourself pats on the back or do you just feel like this is what I do I try to understand?

1:06.1

Well you know I've been doing research for 27 years and when I was a kidter the director research

1:12.2

said you know never get too happy with When I was a Kidder, the director research said,

1:12.8

you know, never get too happy with yourself

1:15.5

because you're only good as your last call.

1:17.4

So I think we're always paranoid looking over our shoulders.

1:20.2

Right, like what could go wrong?

1:21.4

Yeah.

1:22.4

I hear that consistently from people that, you know,

1:25.5

or in a similar situation that you're in. So I wanted to ask you about, we're going to get

...

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