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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

The Fed Put a Fork in the Stock Market – Ep. 427

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business News, Business, Investing, News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 20 December 2018

⏱️ 46 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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Seventh Rate Hike since Trump's Election
As expected, earlier today, the Federal Reserve nudged up the Fed Funds rate by another quarter point.  The Fed is now targeting their rate at 2.25 - 2.5%.  So the range is somewhere in the middle, there. This marks the sixth time the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates since Donald Trump has been President, and the seventh time that the Fed has hiked rates since Trump was elected. Remember, during the entirety of Obama's 8-year Presidency, the Fed raised interest rates only once.
A 900-point Selloff
What the markets did not expect was the dovish hike to be so hawkish. In fact, the minute I heard the language, I was surprised that the Dow didn't immediately sell off, more than it did. It had a bit of a bounce before it sold off, the Dow Jones ended up down just over 350 points.  The selloff from the high to the low was just under 900 points. Earlier in the day the Dow had rallied up about 300 points because there was a lot of anticipation that even though the Fed was going to hike rates today, that it would indicate it would pause.  That was on neutral - that it wasn't really planning any more rate hikes for 2019, and would just play it by ear. It was going to be data dependent.
Dow's Worst December since 1932
But what the Federal Reserve said in their official statement that accompanied the news was that they had reduced their expectation for rate hikes for next year from 3 to just 2 anticipated rate hikes.  Now, that may be considered dovish, but it did not nearly meet the expectations of the market.  It was expecting something much more than that. When I heard that, I thought, "The market's going to get killed." And it did go down but I think a lot more of the carnage is going to happen probably later in the week and next week.  In fact, the market is now down so much that the Dow is having its worst December since 1932.  Of course, that was the beginning of the Great Depression. Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me * Check out DBJourney and use my code Schiff15 for a great deal: https://dbjourney.com * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai * Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The Peter Ships Show.

0:09.4

As expected, earlier today, the Federal Reserve nudged up the Fed Funds Rate by another quarter

0:15.6

point.

0:16.6

The Fed is now targeting that rate at 2.5% to 2.5%.

0:23.2

So the range is somewhere in the middle there.

0:26.4

This marks the sixth time the Federal Reserve had hiked interest rates since Donald Trump

0:33.2

was president.

0:34.2

In fact, it's the seventh time that the Fed has hiked rates since Trump was elected.

0:39.2

Remember, during the entirety of President Obama's eight years as president, the Fed only

0:44.5

raised interest rates once.

0:47.2

But now they've raised them seven more times since Trump was elected in November of 2016.

0:53.8

Now what the markets did not expect was the dovish hike to be so hawkish.

1:00.3

In fact, the minute I heard the language, I was surprised that the Dow didn't immediately

1:04.5

sell off.

1:06.3

More than it did.

1:07.3

It had a bit of a bounce before it sold off.

1:09.9

The Dow Jones ended up down just over 350 points.

1:15.5

The sell off from the high to the low was just under 900 points because earlier in the

1:20.9

day, the Dow had rallied up about 300 points because there was a lot of anticipation that

1:28.1

even though the Fed was going to hike rates today, that it was going to indicate that it

1:33.1

was going to pause, that it was kind of unneutral, that it wasn't really planning any more

1:37.9

rate hikes for 2019.

...

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