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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Fast Casual Comeback Tour

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 20 January 2026

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Fast casual restaurant stocks were hit hard over the past year, but many have snapped back over the past month. In today’s episode of Motley Fool Money, Emily Flippen is joined by Fool analysts Sanmeet Deo and Jason Hall to break down what has caused the rebound, how consumer tastes have changed, and if fast casual stocks are set up for continued strong performance in the year ahead. Companies discussed: CAVA, CMG, SG, WING, EAT, SBUX, MAMA, JBFCF, YUM Host: Emily Flippen, Sanmeet Deo, Jason Hall Producer: Anand Chokkavelu Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Fast casual stocks were smoked in 2025, but thinks I've started to look up in the new year.

0:10.3

We're digging into whether or not this is a real turnaround for food today on Motley Full Money.

0:20.8

Today is Tuesday, January 20th. Welcome to Motley Full Money. I'm your host, Emily Flippin, and today

0:25.7

I'm joined by full analysts, Sendmiteo, and Jason Hall to discuss the rebound in fast casual

0:30.5

stocks, what's been driving it, and what consumer trade-down behavior means for the category in the

0:35.4

year ahead. Now, it's no surprise, but 2025 was a rough year for fast casual stocks.

0:41.6

Wingstop, Chipotle, Kava, and Sweet Green, all lost double-digit amounts of value in the year,

0:47.3

15, 37, 47, and 78% of their value respectively.

0:51.7

Now, obviously, that's a combination of concerns around valuation,

0:55.3

trade downs for budget conscious shoppers, inflation, changing consumer behaviors, just name it,

1:00.5

it's probably a result. But it does seem like something fundamentally did shift over the course

1:05.1

of the past year. And Sunmeet, I want to start with you and what's been driving the weakness

1:09.1

and fast casual. What do you think investors

1:11.4

have gotten wrong over the past years that caused such a contraction valuation?

1:16.2

Yeah, you know, so fast casual valuations have become almost SaaS-like, you know, they were

1:20.2

stretched beyond belief. You know, I think what investors underestimate is the value gap between

1:26.1

fast casual and casual dining.

1:28.3

Traditionally, fast casual was seen as better for you food at a slightly premium price, and

1:33.3

consumers are willing to pay this price because the food felt, you know, healthier,

1:36.3

fresher. Over the past year, I believe these fast casual companies, they just got a little

1:40.3

too aggressive with pricing and took it too far. You know, we saw menu price inflation, fast casual outpaced the broader industry.

1:47.8

You know, when a bowl at Kava or a salad at sweet green pushes past $16 or $18 after delivery fees and tips,

...

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