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Animal Spirits Podcast

The End of V-Shaped Recoveries (EP.256)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

News, Business News, Investing, Business

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 11 May 2022

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's Animal Spirits we discuss the growth stock crash getting worse, the speed of market declines, building wealth slowly, how long bear markets last for, Liam Neeson and much more. Find complete shownotes on our blogs...‍ Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense‍ Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor‍ Like us on Facebook‍ And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation.‍ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts. Michael, I like the economic data on Y-charts

0:05.6

I do this a lot. I like putting two sets of data on there seeing how the trend is

0:10.6

So I got one here US job openings total non-farm

0:14.9

What do you think the farm payroll numbers are? How can we never hear those? It's always non-farm

0:20.5

How about this could we just say total payrolls and we all just understand that there's no farming stuff in here

0:25.9

I don't even understand. What is the origin of this? How many farm jobs are there?

0:29.3

This has to go back to a long time ago and people looked at the farm. Okay, so total job openings total non-farm

0:34.1

11.6 million call it. That's how many job openings are on the country right now

0:38.7

Total unemployed persons in the US 5.9 million the gap here is just

0:45.2

Ridiculous how big it is now

0:47.4

We're gonna talk today on the show about

0:49.4

Could this be a recession as the Fed trying to push us there making us walk the plank here

0:53.2

I know that these two numbers could diverge in a hurry or come back together in a hurry

0:58.6

Where job openings just fall for cliff, but if this happens this is going to be the weirdest recession ever

1:04.1

If we go into some sort of minor recession and I think if you take off the table some weird exogenous shock

1:10.6

If we go into recession, it'll be a pretty minor one. That's my look at the things. This is gonna be a really bizarre recession

1:16.5

Yes

1:17.5

Not good if it happens

1:20.8

Anyway, you want to check out some of the economic data on white charts

1:25.3

Go to them tell them that animal spirits are the compounds sent to you 20% off your new subscription

1:31.7

Welcome to animal spirits a show about markets life and investing join Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson as they talk about with their reading

1:40.5

writing and watching

...

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