The End of V-Shaped Recoveries (EP.256)
Animal Spirits Podcast
The Compound
4.7 • 2.1K Ratings
🗓️ 11 May 2022
⏱️ 50 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts. Michael, I like the economic data on Y-charts |
| 0:05.6 | I do this a lot. I like putting two sets of data on there seeing how the trend is |
| 0:10.6 | So I got one here US job openings total non-farm |
| 0:14.9 | What do you think the farm payroll numbers are? How can we never hear those? It's always non-farm |
| 0:20.5 | How about this could we just say total payrolls and we all just understand that there's no farming stuff in here |
| 0:25.9 | I don't even understand. What is the origin of this? How many farm jobs are there? |
| 0:29.3 | This has to go back to a long time ago and people looked at the farm. Okay, so total job openings total non-farm |
| 0:34.1 | 11.6 million call it. That's how many job openings are on the country right now |
| 0:38.7 | Total unemployed persons in the US 5.9 million the gap here is just |
| 0:45.2 | Ridiculous how big it is now |
| 0:47.4 | We're gonna talk today on the show about |
| 0:49.4 | Could this be a recession as the Fed trying to push us there making us walk the plank here |
| 0:53.2 | I know that these two numbers could diverge in a hurry or come back together in a hurry |
| 0:58.6 | Where job openings just fall for cliff, but if this happens this is going to be the weirdest recession ever |
| 1:04.1 | If we go into some sort of minor recession and I think if you take off the table some weird exogenous shock |
| 1:10.6 | If we go into recession, it'll be a pretty minor one. That's my look at the things. This is gonna be a really bizarre recession |
| 1:16.5 | Yes |
| 1:17.5 | Not good if it happens |
| 1:20.8 | Anyway, you want to check out some of the economic data on white charts |
| 1:25.3 | Go to them tell them that animal spirits are the compounds sent to you 20% off your new subscription |
| 1:31.7 | Welcome to animal spirits a show about markets life and investing join Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson as they talk about with their reading |
| 1:40.5 | writing and watching |
... |
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