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The Journal.

The Economy Is Too Hot for the Fed

The Journal.

The Wall Street Journal

Business News, Daily News, News

4.25.8K Ratings

🗓️ 9 March 2023

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress this week that interest rates could go up faster and higher than previously planned. WSJ’s Nick Timiraos explains what’s behind the Fed’s change of strategy, and why it’s struggling to tame inflation. Further Reading: - Powell Says Data Will Determine Size of Next Rate Increase - Powell Says Fed Is Prepared to Speed Up Interest-Rate Rises - Why the Recession Is Always Six Months Away Further Listening: - Mass Layoffs or Hiring Boom — Which Is It? - Consumers Are Starting to Freak Out Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

At the beginning of February, the chair of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell was sounding

0:10.7

optimistic about his fight against inflation.

0:14.5

At a press conference, he kept saying one word over and over again.

0:20.4

Disinflation, meaning a slowdown in inflation.

0:25.0

Powell used the word 15 times.

0:27.6

Disinflation, they don't see disinflation.

0:30.3

Disinflation, disinflation.

0:32.7

And that really spoke to the mood at the time.

0:35.4

People were talking about when the Fed is going to be done raising interest rates because

0:40.9

people think inflation is going to slow down.

0:43.7

Investors and financial markets at that time were expecting a really rapid decline in inflation

0:50.1

this year.

0:51.1

A miraculous melting away of inflation.

0:56.3

But our colleague, Nick Timmeros, says that this week Powell sounded very different.

1:02.1

Fedger J. Powell delivered his twice yearly testimony to lawmakers.

1:07.9

And what was significant was that he hinted at a possible shift in the Fed's interest

1:12.7

rate tactics.

1:14.5

We're looking at a reversal, really, of what we thought we were seeing to some extent.

1:19.1

He suggested that actually they might want to go back to making some bigger moves here

1:24.8

because the economy is looking hotter than they thought it was.

1:29.7

And that could mean more and bigger interest rate hikes.

1:36.7

Welcome to the journal, our show about money, business, and power.

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