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🗓️ 7 August 2023
⏱️ 26 minutes
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0:00.0 | From the New York Times, I'm Sabrina Taverni-C, and this is the Daily. |
0:09.9 | After months of worry about a possible recession, it is now looking increasingly likely that |
0:15.2 | the U.S. has managed to avoid one. |
0:18.1 | Today, I talked to my colleague, Jim Tangersley, about that brighter economic picture, and |
0:24.1 | about why, at least so far, Americans aren't giving President Biden much credit for it. |
0:36.9 | It's Monday, August 7th. |
0:42.6 | So Jim, we've talked a bunch on the show about the economy and about how the government's |
0:47.6 | been trying to threaten needle, right? |
0:50.6 | Including inflation, on the one hand, while avoiding sending the economy into a recession |
0:56.3 | on the other. |
0:57.7 | And when we had you on the show last year, you talked about this, and you said there were |
1:01.6 | two potential outcomes. |
1:03.9 | One was the U.S. would experience a soft landing, which, as the name suggests, is kind of |
1:08.3 | pillowy and painless, or the U.S. would experience a hard landing, which is a recession, |
1:14.4 | with lots of job loss and pain. |
1:17.7 | Where are we today in the government's threading of that needle? |
1:21.6 | Well, I think let's be really direct about it. |
1:24.2 | We are in the midst of some of the best economic data, if not the best economic data, of Joe |
1:30.8 | Biden's presidency. |
1:32.6 | And those data are giving a lot of economists and forecasters more and more confidence that |
1:38.8 | they might pull this soft landing thing off, that it just might come to pass that the |
1:44.6 | economy is able to make it out of high inflation, without falling back into a recession, and |
... |
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