It's Monday, October 21st, 2024.

Ominous signs for Kamala.

Iran leaks U.S. intelligence, and the biggest thing I'm worried about 15 days from today.

Next on the AM update.

It is 15 days to the 2024 general election. And boy, howdy, things are not looking up for Kamala.

Four of the last five national polls counted in the real clear politics polling average have Donald Trump winning.

Again, that's the national average. Overall, the average is still

Harris. 0.9 points, which would tell you if you'll believe any number of the polls that the national

popular vote could be in play for Donald Trump in the battleground states, real clear politics

polling average, Wisconsin, Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points. In Michigan, Trump leads

by 1.2 points. And in Pennsylvania, Trump wins by 0.7 points. Of course, if that's actually

the real margin in those states, that's not outside of the margin of cheating. But if you think

that the polls are still underestimating Donald Trump's support from 2016 and

2020 and are still doing so today, those are pretty good signs.

The betting odds for this election, again, the RCP aggregate of betting odds, that's from

places like bet online, Betzen, Bovada, and Pauley Market.

Well, the odds they have of Trump winning the general election, the electoral college.

He's got about an 18-point advantage over Kamala Harris.

Things are looking up, so up, in fact, that not even ABC News could ignore one facet,

and that's early voting, which is looking really positive for Republicans in battleground states.

But based on the likely partisanship of the voters that we've seen so far,

we're seeing more Republicans as a share of the electorate than Democrats.

...