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The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe Wednesday - June 12, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Wealth Management, Investing, Macro Economics, Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 12 June 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This episode delves into the significance and influence of the word 'because'. The discussion explores its role in communication, persuasion, and decision-making processes, highlighting how the simple word can have a powerful effect in various contexts.

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:13.0

Welcome to Dividend Cafe. It is Wednesday, June the 12th, and generally in upday in markets, the Dow actually did close lower by about 35 points

0:23.5

on the day, and it opened up higher than that on some better than expected inflation data

0:28.3

and then drifted a little lower. But both the S&P and the NASDAQ were up modestly. The S&P was

0:34.4

up 0.85 percent. NasdaDAQ was up 1.5%.

0:37.6

So a decent day, bonds also rallied.

0:40.5

Ten year was down seven bases points to 433.

0:43.6

So what caused all this?

0:45.4

We had earlier in the morning, CPI data that came out that was better than expected on both core and headline, which is a good thing.

0:53.7

Core was up 0.2% month over month.

0:56.7

We were expecting 0.3. Technically, that number is the lowest now in just about three years,

1:02.6

August of 21. It puts the annualized number at about 3.4%. We were expecting 3.5. So

1:09.2

better than expected on Core. And then headline also

1:12.1

better than expected it was flat or unchanged versus an increase of 0.1 percent. That's the lowest

1:17.5

since right at the onset of the pandemic, basically, of May of 20. So you're getting some low month over

1:23.3

month numbers and inflation. There's no way to argue with that. Those are good things.

1:28.9

The core number, just keep in mind there's a shelter component. We've spoken about this a few

1:33.3

times, but there's a shelter component that is a longer-term average and it's capturing some of

1:38.2

the increase in shelter costs back ways ago. If you look at something more recent, like just a current Zillow rent

1:45.6

index, even the last six months, you're in the mid-twos from an inflation standpoint on shelter,

1:52.9

okay? But inside of CPI, the number they're using, the calculation gets them to a 5.42%. So if you think

2:00.2

about it, that shelter component makes up about 35% of the total

...

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