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The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe Tuesday - June 4, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Wealth Management, Investing, Macro Economics, Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 4 June 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Daily Market Recap and Economic Insights - Dividend Cafe

In today's daily recap on Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen discusses the market performance with the Dow closing up 140 points, modest gains in the S&P and NASDAQ, and a continued bond market rally reflected in the 10-year yield drop to 4.33%. Real estate and consumer staples sectors led the day with about 1% gains, while materials and energy sectors saw declines. Oil prices decreased by $1.30 a barrel. The episode also touches on the JOLTS data indicating a drop in job openings and speculates that the labor market data will give the Fed a potential reason to loosen policy by the year's end. David also encourages viewers to check out ongoing questions on DividendCafe.com and concludes with a positive outlook for most asset classes in May.

00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:12 Daily Market Recap 00:41 Bond Market Rally 01:19 Sector Performance Overview 01:39 Oil Prices and Economic Data 01:54 Labor Market Insights 02:45 Fed's Potential Moves 02:59 Closing Thoughts and Resources 03:54 Legal and Investment Disclaimers

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.4

Well, hello, and welcome to the daily recap of the Dividendon Cafe. This is David Bonson, and I just wanted to let you know the Dow closed up 140 points today. That was 36 basis

0:22.7

points to the upside. The S&P was up just a tiny bit, 15 basis points. The NASDAQ up about the same,

0:29.6

17 basis points. So very modest returns, but nevertheless up in the S&P and NASDAQ, the Dow up a little

0:36.7

more. But all things being equal,

0:39.2

pretty boring days. Sometimes people like boring days. This absolutely ferocious rally in the bond

0:45.0

market has continued. The tenure was down another seven basis points today. The 10 year yield closing

0:51.6

at 4.33%. To put that in perspective, it was at 4.7% on April 24th. So you're

1:01.5

basically talking about in five weeks. You've had almost 40 basis points drop out of the 10-year.

1:07.6

Of course, the yield's going lower. It means the price is going higher. All up and down

1:12.1

the yield curve, you see a decline in yields, pushing bond prices higher. The top performing

1:19.9

sector day was real estate. It was up 1%. Consumer staples right there with it, up almost 1%. Materials

1:26.2

were down the most up 1.2.

1:28.4

Energy continued some downside from yesterday down almost another 1%.

1:32.6

Mixed bag across sectors, but with the defenses of real estate and staples leading the way.

1:39.8

Speaking of oil prices, they were down another $1.30 a barrel today.

1:43.6

Closed just below $73 down

1:46.7

one and three quarters percent. The more significant economic date of the week will come on

1:53.2

Friday when we get to the BLS jobs report for the month of May and we'll get a read of where the unemployment percentage is,

2:06.0

how many jobs were created last month and so forth. But in terms of the Joltz data today,

2:12.3

which is the job openings, they did fall to a three-year low. And so they got down. They're still just a tad above

2:20.2

$8 million, but they were expected to come in at $8.3 million. So on one hand, you could argue,

...

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