meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe Thursday - November 21, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Estate Planning, Macro Economics, Dividend Growth Investing, Monetary Policy, Wealth Management, Investing, Retirement Planning, Business

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 21 November 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Market Recap and Economic Insights - November 21 Edition

In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the positive performance of the equity markets on November 21st, highlighting a 461-point rise in the Dow, a modest increase in the S&P, and a flat Nasdaq. He covers the economic side, including better-than-expected initial unemployment claims, a contraction in the Philly Fed manufacturing index, and strong existing home sales. Szytel also provides insights into future market expectations, emphasizing realistic expectations for index returns and a focus on dividend income given current valuations. The episode concludes with a preview of upcoming content for the holiday week.

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview

00:44 Economic Indicators and Labor Market Insights

01:17 Manufacturing and Housing Market Update

01:47 Market Expectations and Valuation Analysis

03:32 Conclusion and Upcoming Content

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Welcome to Dividend Cafe. This is Thursday, November the 21st. And Brian Saitel with you on a very pretty positive day overall in the equity markets.

0:23.6

The Dow ended up closing up 461 points.

0:27.6

We've been in this consolidating sideways move here for over a week now, an up-down movement in markets.

0:33.6

So we broke through a little today and resumed our move higher for the month of November.

0:38.1

The S&P was up about a half a percent also on the day, and the NASDAQ was essentially flat.

0:44.1

A lot of that was tech earnings-related companies coming out there. But bonds sold up just a small

0:50.8

amount. We went up about a basis point on 10 years. Treasury is closed to 442.

0:56.5

So there's your market wrap. On the economics side of things, we had initial claims actually come

1:01.6

out much better than expected. We got a 213,000 print for the week. We thought it would be 220.

1:07.6

So that's better with less people filing for unemployment, although it is interesting

1:11.8

to see that the continuing claims continue to edge higher, not just this week, but the past

1:18.3

four weeks, month over month. And so we're seeing people that are on unemployment stay that way

1:23.2

for a little longer in this labor market. But it's still very resilient overall. The labor market is in

1:28.6

very, very good shape still. The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index contracted for the month, which was

1:34.5

unexpected. Last month, we had a pretty positive number, and that's off of the New York Empire State

1:40.3

Index that was expansionary as well. So that was a little, but if a mess on manufacturing,

1:44.6

and then we had existing home sales that were beating expectations, they were at 3.5%

1:49.6

for the month, 3.4. So there you go on the economic side in your market recap. What I wrote in there

1:55.8

is more about expectations. I know we're entering a holiday week. I believe that it will slow down is my guess in markets as earnings kind of finish. And we head into a shortened holiday week next week. But expectations on the S&P, most sell side analysts, not all, some of them are in the 6,500 range, some of them in the 7,000 range. But on average, if you call it around 6,700 on the

2:19.0

S&P, we're close today at 5948. So if you think about earnings at the end of 2024, ending the year

2:27.2

somewhere around 245 a share, that puts us about 24 times earnings current. And if you think about

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.