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The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe Thursday - May 2, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Retirement Planning, Business, Monetary Policy, Dividend Growth Investing, Investing, Macro Economics, Estate Planning, Wealth Management

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 2 May 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Welcome to Dividend Cafe. It is Thursday, May the 2nd. And we finally got some green on the sheets today sheets today there was an up day in the markets

0:22.1

we were up 322 points on the Dow and the NASDAQ was actually up over a percent and a half

0:28.7

so big day for for the NASDAQ the 10 year closed at 459 which was down four basis points on

0:37.3

the day.

0:37.7

So we had a little come out of interest rates and some up markets following, you know,

0:43.3

the conclusion of the Fed meeting yesterday and some not necessarily doveish comments,

0:48.3

but less hawkish than what was feared.

0:51.2

And so markets felt better today.

0:53.1

Earnings continue to come out too. And I think

0:55.1

there's a positive backdrop with that as well. I looked at previous rate tightening cycles when they

1:02.6

stop, basically, when the Fed is on hold, you know, when they're holding rate steady after they've

1:07.9

already tightened and before they start cutting, just to see where markets

1:11.1

typically trade in those environments.

1:12.9

And there was, most of them were positive.

1:15.3

There was 10 periods out of them.

1:17.1

I'd say six of them were positive.

1:19.0

And the ones that were negative were really not very negative.

1:21.5

The ones that were positive were much more heavily skewed towards the, you know, a significant

1:25.3

amount of upside.

1:26.9

So the longest period was a little

1:28.7

over 14 months in 06 and 07, that period of time when they rose rates, actually to a similar

...

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