The DC Today - Wednesday, September 6, 2023
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 6 September 2023
⏱️ 7 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3LcqThy
Oil is the story of markets yet again, with Brent now passing $90 and WTI Crude passing $87. The idea that oil was between $65 and $75 for months and we did nothing to help re-fill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is just surreal to me. These prices at now 10-month highs are sure to exacerbate the delta between core and headline inflation in the months ahead.
Just 37% of companies in the S&P 500 were above their 50-day moving average this morning as internal momentum continues to dissipate.
China and Japan are not happy about the dollar’s recent rise and are pledging decisive action to arrest their own currency’s drop relative to the U.S. dollar.
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:14.4 | Well, hello and welcome to the Wednesday edition of DC today. We're going to be going quick today. |
| 0:20.7 | Interesting day in markets. I'll cover what |
| 0:22.7 | took place and a couple other market news items. And then I am running into a client meeting and then |
| 0:29.4 | running to an airport as I will be fine to New York City tonight and I'll be in the New York |
| 0:34.8 | office tomorrow bringing you yet another DC today. |
| 0:39.5 | Look, I do think the big, I've talked about already quite a bit. |
| 0:43.2 | So the bond yield story really is the big story right now. |
| 0:47.1 | It's hurting risk assets. |
| 0:48.7 | It's keeping risk assets from catching much of a bid right now, just in terms of the short-term |
| 0:54.0 | technical realities |
| 0:56.0 | of what's happening in the markets, that as yields have continued to go higher, it's very |
| 1:00.5 | difficult for a market that is totally dependent upon multiple expansion to see stock prices move |
| 1:06.6 | higher. You're not going to get multiple expansion when bond yields are moving higher. |
| 1:16.9 | And yet you can see in the Fed funds futures market, and this was actually the question that came in today for Ask David, that the financial markets are telling you that they don't |
| 1:23.2 | believe the Fed is going to be raising rates anytime soon. |
| 1:27.0 | And so for bond yields to be going higher when the Fed will be very is going to be raising rates anytime soon. And so for bond yields to be going |
| 1:28.5 | higher when the Fed will be very likely staying put for the foreseeable future and possibly for |
| 1:35.1 | good. And then I think going into cuts into next year, it really does suggest to me a very plausible |
| 1:43.0 | conclusion, logically speaking, that there is a |
| 1:48.5 | supply issuance issue with treasuries, that when you have more supply, you get higher, |
| 1:57.5 | excuse me, lower prices, which means higher yields. And I think that is what is forcing |
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