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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Wednesday September 21, 2022

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Monetary Policy, Investing, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Estate Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 21 September 2022

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

I’d love to say “Fed comments caused the market to drop today” but it would be untrue. Within seconds of the Fed release the market went from +200 to -200, but then the market went back to +250, and that was all AFTER the Fed announcement, the release, and the Powell press conference. THEN, after all that, the market unraveled into the final thirty minutes of trading.

Dow: -522 points (-1.70%) S&P: (-1.71%) Nasdaq: (-1.79%) 10-Year Treasury Yield: 3.53% (-4 basis points) Top-performing sector: Consumer Staples (-0.34%) Bottom-performing sector: Consumer Discretionary (-2.37%) WTI Crude Oil: $83.04/barrel (+0.12%) Key Economic Point of the Day: Existing home sales dropped -0.4% in August and are down -19.9% from a year ago

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Hello and welcome to the Wednesday edition of the DC today, also known today as Fed Day. We got quite a roller coaster market, so I'll walk you guys

0:25.4

through everything that took place today. Quick summary items first, and then I'm going to

0:30.3

unpack with some commentary. The market was down. The Dow, 522 points. It's 1.7%. The S&P was down essentially the exact same. 1.71%. The NASDAQ,

0:42.7

real close as well, 1.79%. So very similar downside on all three of the major market indices.

0:49.7

The 10-year treasury yield closed at 3.53% that was down four basis points.

0:57.4

Consumer staples were the best performing sector.

1:00.7

They were down only 34 basis points.

1:04.1

So in a really violent down day, consumer staples were down 0.3%.

1:08.2

But then the worst performing sector was consumer discretionary, which was down

1:13.6

almost 2.5%. Oil was up a tiny bit at $83.4 cents a barrel. So effectively what happened today

1:23.4

is that the Dow had been up barely 100 points, 150 points, most of the day.

1:31.8

Then at 11 o'clock Pacific, 2 o'clock Eastern, the Fed came out and announced, as we all

1:37.6

knew was coming, a 0.75% increase in the Fed funds rate and their release that came with it had a few other,

1:47.2

you know, choices of language and kind of restatements or updating a past releases.

1:53.1

And almost immediately the Dow went from plus 200 to negative 200.

1:58.7

And so he had a 400 point swing in about 25 seconds. And I'm not

2:04.7

exaggerating. That's how quickly it moved. So it was with no new news, no unexpected news,

2:11.6

and in that kind of quickness, obviously the very quick unraveling of some quick trades around either hedges or

2:21.8

forward-looking calls or something that was more computerized and more technical and somewhat

2:28.1

irrelevant to the real world. But then this is the interesting part I want to unpack for you

2:32.6

guys. It then came all the way back and was back up 250 points.

...

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