The DC Today - Wednesday, April 10, 2024
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 10 April 2024
⏱️ 7 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3PWoA4P
A down day in both stocks and bonds today following a disappointment on CPI numbers by one tenth on both Headline and Core, that sent the Dow down XXX points and the 10-year bond yield up .18XXbps. We expected .3% on both and got .4% instead to cause todays action, so on one hand a risk off day as higher rates were priced in on yields, and on the other, the difference of a tenth is far from dramatic in and of itself.
I do believe the Federal Reserve is an independent institution adhering to its employment and price stability mandates. I also believe they are aware of the Fiscal paradigm as well however (not driven by, but aware). Do I think a $2T budget deficit when we are at full employment with interest expense now accounting for 17% of tax revenue when our average termed government debt interest rate is only at 3.3% is on their radar in terms of Quantitative Tightening, yes I do. They can’t go until inflation gives them the OK sign (or gets close enough), but they are ready to reduce rates later this year as they’ve telegraphed, and from the Fed minutes released just today my point on reducing QT will come in to play sooner than later.
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:14.0 | Welcome to DC Today. It is Wednesday, April the 10th, in what for the week at least so far has been the largest down draw on the day. |
| 0:26.4 | We were down 422 points on the day, which is a little over 1%. |
| 0:31.7 | 1.05, to be exact, on the Dow. |
| 0:34.5 | The NASDAQ and S&P were both down as well, although less than 1%. So in point terms, |
| 0:40.3 | it sounds probably worse than I suppose it is. You know, these types of ups and downs just happen in |
| 0:45.0 | markets. It's what they do. But it was surrounded around the CPI number that came out on both |
| 0:51.1 | core and headline. That was an entirety of one-tenth higher than we expected so we |
| 0:56.5 | were expecting 0.3% for both headline and core we got 0.4% on both year over year headline was 3.5 we |
| 1:05.4 | thought it would be 3.4 and core was 3.8 and we were hoping for 3.7. Keep in mind on core last month was also 3.8. |
| 1:15.2 | So it's not that it went up. It's just that it went the same and it didn't go a little down like we |
| 1:20.3 | were hoping for. So markets were upset about it and pretty much were down all day long. |
| 1:25.5 | Interest rates were the bigger news. The 10 year closed up 18 basis points, which on a single day is a pretty decent move |
| 1:32.7 | up in interest rates. |
| 1:34.5 | And part of it was because of hiring the CPI number that came out. |
| 1:38.3 | And the other part of it was there was a 10-year bond yield, $39 billion that went poorly. |
| 1:43.4 | Those two things are tied together, |
| 1:45.0 | you know, rates going up and the bond auction not going as well as far as bid to cover goes. |
| 1:49.7 | So there you have it on the day. |
| 1:51.9 | The PPI numbers, you know, like I said, they were a tenth higher, so 0.4% for the month. |
| 1:56.9 | If you look at what was inside of those numbers and kind of open the hood, food was only up 0.1% for the month and up 2.1% on the year. |
| 2:06.4 | Energy, which was up 1.1% for the month, so a big move up on the month. |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

