The DC Today - Tuesday, August 1, 2023
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 1 August 2023
⏱️ 7 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3q8RMfd
August is off and running! The Dow was up +3.4% in July, nearly half of its total gain in 2023 coming in the month. Both the Nasdaq and S&P were up over +3% as well.
Bonds sold off today as yields rallied, and with a weak manufacturing number today, the only reason I can see bond yields climbing today is some expectation (for right or for wrong) that the jobs data will be strong this week.
Copper moving higher is not a sign of pending economic weakness, theoretically.
Congrats to the U.S. women’s soccer team on their 0-0 tie with Portugal, which enabled them to advance in the World Cup. Yep.
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:14.9 | Hello and welcome to the Tuesday, D.C. today. Also, the kickoff of the month of August. So we closed out July. |
| 0:23.4 | Yesterday, you had the NASDAQ, S&P, and Dow all up over 3%. Actually, the S&P was up the least of those three, |
| 0:32.8 | as so much of the gains in July did broaden out. And the big seven or so tech companies were less of the gain than they've been all year. |
| 0:43.4 | So the S&P was a little bit lower and the Dow was a little bit higher, not not by much. |
| 0:50.1 | The Dow was, I think up 3.6. |
| 0:53.1 | That's almost half of what it's up on the whole year, just coming from last month. |
| 0:58.1 | So you had quite a monstrous move higher and risk assets, both in the months of June and July now. |
| 1:06.1 | We kicked off today. |
| 1:07.3 | It was actually pretty boring. |
| 1:08.5 | The Dow was up 71 points, which was 20 basis points to the |
| 1:13.6 | upside. But the S&P was down, 27 basis points and the NASDAQ down, almost half a percent. |
| 1:20.6 | So kind of a just mixed bag, but nothing really right home about on any front. Industrials led the way, but they were only up point three two percent, 32 basis points. |
| 1:32.1 | And utilities were actually down one and a quarter percent, consumer discretionary, |
| 1:36.5 | not far behind. |
| 1:37.6 | Also nearly one and a quarter percent to the downside. |
| 1:42.2 | The 10 year, this is the thing I think is more interesting on the day, if there is anything |
| 1:48.2 | you could call interesting today. |
| 1:50.6 | The bond market sold off as the 10-year was up seven basis points, closed at 4.03%. |
| 1:59.0 | And yet it did that even with reasonably weak manufacturing data. Remember, bond yields |
| 2:04.9 | normally are going higher at growthier news and bonds are generally rallying, meaning yields are |
| 2:11.4 | going lower on less growthy news. And the only thing I could think of is to why bonds would have moved the way |
... |
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