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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Tuesday, April 2, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Macro Economics, Wealth Management, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Retirement Planning, Investing

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 2 April 2024

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3JnoIqp

Although off the lows for the day, stocks closed down for a second day to start off the new quarter. 10-Year yields have now moved back towards the high end of their four-month range at 4.35%, which is about the level where we have seen markets start to pay more attention which is what today was about. Fed futures are still at 50/50 for a June cut and roughly 70% for July, and what’s being repriced into markets is rates that may stay a little higher this year.

Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets.

0:14.9

Welcome to DC today this Tuesday, April the 2nd, in what ended up being a second down day to start off April

0:24.2

in the second quarter. Yesterday, I thought maybe it was just April Fool's. It turns out

0:31.5

it's going to have some follow-through. But the market was off the lows for the day. We closed

0:36.7

down 396 on the Dow.

0:40.3

Really what drove this is rates are at the higher end of their range, the 10 years trading

0:45.4

at about 436.

0:47.8

It was up three basis points on the day, but that was after it rose 12 basis points

0:52.4

yesterday.

0:53.2

And so the market's just in risk

0:55.0

assets are repricing some higher interest rates. But what's behind it isn't necessarily bad.

1:01.8

It's, yeah, some inflation numbers have remained in the, you know, high twos or low threes,

1:07.6

but are definitely moving in the red direction. But it's positive economic growth

1:11.8

and labor strength, and those things aren't bad if we end up with repricing because we're going to

1:17.2

have a little higher interest rates the remainder of the year. That doesn't frighten me too much,

1:22.2

per se. But we had yesterday, again, positive manufacturing data that was good for economic news.

1:30.4

We had today some positive numbers out of job openings.

1:36.8

They were the same.

1:37.7

It was $8.8 million this month, which was really for February.

1:41.4

And then we had about the same exact number for the month before

1:44.8

in January. So those are good numbers. It's a healthy amount of job openings. That's a good

1:50.3

sign for the employment market. It's down from 12 million in 2022, which was the peak. So

...

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