The DC Today - Tuesday, April 2, 2024
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 2 April 2024
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3JnoIqp
Although off the lows for the day, stocks closed down for a second day to start off the new quarter. 10-Year yields have now moved back towards the high end of their four-month range at 4.35%, which is about the level where we have seen markets start to pay more attention which is what today was about. Fed futures are still at 50/50 for a June cut and roughly 70% for July, and what’s being repriced into markets is rates that may stay a little higher this year.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:14.9 | Welcome to DC today this Tuesday, April the 2nd, in what ended up being a second down day to start off April |
| 0:24.2 | in the second quarter. Yesterday, I thought maybe it was just April Fool's. It turns out |
| 0:31.5 | it's going to have some follow-through. But the market was off the lows for the day. We closed |
| 0:36.7 | down 396 on the Dow. |
| 0:40.3 | Really what drove this is rates are at the higher end of their range, the 10 years trading |
| 0:45.4 | at about 436. |
| 0:47.8 | It was up three basis points on the day, but that was after it rose 12 basis points |
| 0:52.4 | yesterday. |
| 0:53.2 | And so the market's just in risk |
| 0:55.0 | assets are repricing some higher interest rates. But what's behind it isn't necessarily bad. |
| 1:01.8 | It's, yeah, some inflation numbers have remained in the, you know, high twos or low threes, |
| 1:07.6 | but are definitely moving in the red direction. But it's positive economic growth |
| 1:11.8 | and labor strength, and those things aren't bad if we end up with repricing because we're going to |
| 1:17.2 | have a little higher interest rates the remainder of the year. That doesn't frighten me too much, |
| 1:22.2 | per se. But we had yesterday, again, positive manufacturing data that was good for economic news. |
| 1:30.4 | We had today some positive numbers out of job openings. |
| 1:36.8 | They were the same. |
| 1:37.7 | It was $8.8 million this month, which was really for February. |
| 1:41.4 | And then we had about the same exact number for the month before |
| 1:44.8 | in January. So those are good numbers. It's a healthy amount of job openings. That's a good |
| 1:50.3 | sign for the employment market. It's down from 12 million in 2022, which was the peak. So |
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