The DC Today - Thursday, January 25, 2024
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 25 January 2024
⏱️ 7 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/48LulK1
An overall positive trading day without a lot of volatility behind what was a pretty decent batch of economic data. The Dow was up well over 200 points, and the S&P 500 notched a sixth day of gains. We had the first read on Q4 GDP come in significantly higher than expected at 3.3%, with the consumer powering almost two percent of it. Both durable goods orders and jobless claims came in just enough below expectations that bonds also rallied, with the 10 YR down six basis points.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every |
| 0:06.5 | Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:14.8 | Hello, welcome to D.C. today. It is Thursday afternoon, January 25th, and great to be with all of you as it always is. |
| 0:23.6 | And nice to see a nice positive day in markets, really across the board. |
| 0:29.6 | I was a little concerned mid-morning that we were going to end up with a repeat of yesterday, |
| 0:35.6 | with markets kind of losing a little momentum. |
| 0:41.4 | But we ended up with 242 gain on the Dow, which is great. |
| 0:44.7 | The S&P notched a sixth day of gains. |
| 0:51.6 | And actually, the bond market moved up in price, too, with yields moving lower by about six basis points. |
| 0:56.9 | We've had earnings that have been coming out that have been kind of fueling markets too. |
| 1:02.0 | There was a particularly good print from Big Blue today that was nice and market moving. |
| 1:10.7 | But we had some quite a couple of different things in the economic calendar come out that I think was really what was behind some of the market movement. |
| 1:18.2 | GDP, a preliminary version of GDP for fourth quarter came out at 3.3% and markets were expecting around 2% that I wrote about as of yesterday. |
| 1:21.5 | So quite a bit better than expected. |
| 1:23.1 | The consumer drove the lion's share of it. |
| 1:25.7 | It was about 1.9% of that number. So mostly consumer, |
| 1:29.7 | but pretty broad-based, all at all. And that was definitely good news. And I think part of what |
| 1:34.9 | moved stocks, and then you had some other figures like durable goods that were flat on the month |
| 1:39.4 | when we expected to gain. And also jobless claims that came in a little bit higher than expected kind of |
| 1:46.1 | balance out things a little bit. That's why you saw the bond market actually rally with |
| 1:49.7 | rates come down a little bit. So kind of a mixed bag in economic data, but kind of a perfect |
| 1:56.0 | recipe for a good, nice market today. Volatility remains fairly low. VIX is around 13 or so, 13 and a half. |
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