The DC Today - Monday November 7, 2022
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 7 November 2022
⏱️ 17 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Market Action
Futures opened down nearly -200 points last night but got back nearly to the flat line by bedtime as Japan and Hong Kong markets were rallying. Then this morning, futures pointed to a +170-point open pre-market. The market opened +80 points and went steadily higher throughout the day. The Dow closed up +424 points (+1.31%), with the S&P 500 up +0.96% and the Nasdaq up +0.85%.
It would be malpractice not to start with this chart. One thing I have said over and over is that I believe equity volatility does not stabilize until the ascendant dollar reverses. Friday’s drop in the DXY was the worst day for the dollar since 2015 and the second worst day since the financial crisis (h/t Jim Bianco). Now, the dollar was still UP on the week – we are hardly in a trend of dollar reversal. Volatility is still the story, not a weakening dollar. For now.
We are up to 85% of companies reported for the quarter now (Q3 results), and revenue growth looks to be +11% year-over-year with earnings growth of +4.3%. And the earnings outlook for 2023 has only come down from $252/share for the S&P 500 to $233, meaning either this will end up being a very, very mild recession, or else there is more room to go for downward revisions of 2023 profits. The ten-year bond yield closed today at 4.22%, up six basis points on the day Top-performing sector for the day: Communication Services (+1.83%) and Energy (+1.73%) Bottom-performing sector for the day: Utilities (-1.94%) I am not sure that the ESG movement is proving to be much about ideology. It is apparently a lot more about performance, after all. As ESG-popular FAANG stocks have gotten hammered and ESG-hated energy stocks have thrived, new money into ESG products has evaporated.
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:15.2 | Well, hello and welcome to the special edition Monday, D.C. Today, where we kind of go through the long form commentary |
| 0:25.5 | that you're used to in the written form. And I want podcast listeners and video watchers |
| 0:31.5 | to get all that same information. There's a lot today. For one thing, the market is up 3,640 points in the last four weeks. |
| 0:45.4 | And so if that feels surreal, it's because it sort of is. I don't know if anyone would say it |
| 0:51.4 | feels that way, but that's just an absolutely monstrous move higher in the Dow in the last four weeks. And there's been, you know, some setbacks with that |
| 0:59.5 | along the way. And then now we had a big rally in the market Friday and another big rally today, |
| 1:07.1 | more than making up for the 550 point drop that took place on last Wednesday in the market. |
| 1:14.7 | So there's still a volatility. |
| 1:16.7 | There's still both up and downside risk and what the market might do on any given day. |
| 1:21.2 | There's still people trying to time the market getting there, you know, what's handed to do them. |
| 1:26.1 | But as far as the overall view we have |
| 1:29.9 | where we stand, I'm not sure much has changed. There's a lot of unknowns, a lot of day-to-day volatility, |
| 1:35.4 | and a lot of intersection with both the unknown of monetary policy and the unknown of earnings |
| 1:41.1 | outlook tied to recessionary risks. I will say this. |
| 1:46.4 | The overnight action last night, Sunday, the market opened futures down 200 points. |
| 1:53.8 | And then throughout the evening, it progressed, we got better. |
| 1:57.2 | The Niki was up, I think, at one point, 450 points. |
| 2:01.0 | The Hong Kong index was up 2%. |
| 2:03.5 | So you had a lot pulling things higher on the Asian side overnight. |
| 2:09.7 | And then this morning, the Dow futures were up 170 points. |
| 2:16.8 | And so there is both volatility day to day in the overnight space. |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

