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The Data Points That Will Explain The 2024 Election

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.6 β€’ 20.3K Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 8 February 2024

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript


What is the most valuable data point to watch heading into the 2024 presidential election? This week on the 538 Politics podcast, we interviewed more than a dozen experts β€” pollsters, political scientists, data journalists β€” and asked them this one question. Their combined answers paint a picture of which variables will most influence the election this November. Galen and his guests cover voters' shifting perceptions of the two candidates, issues and key demographics that could make or break them, and the importance of "double haters," voters who have negative opinions of both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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ek slash special offer. What are the most important data points I'm following in


2024 the most important metric The most important data point I think. The data point


that we have been watching the most closely. Really important numbers. So the one that everybody's


going to be tracking cross tabs.


By the way, I love this idea. This is so fun. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast I'm Gailen Drew.


We're going to do something a little bit different today which I'm very excited about.


While the primaries are not technically over we are for all intents and purposes in the


early weeks of the general election and it's a unique one a rematch between a sitting president and a


former president to people who are universally known and have been in the


American consciousness in some way or another for decades.


And with the early end to the competitive part of the primary,


it will be the longest general election in memory,


and I'm sure it will also feel that way.


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