The Danger of Keeping Score
On the Media
WNYC Studios
4.6 • 9.1K Ratings
🗓️ 1 April 2026
⏱️ 22 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hey, you're listening to On The Media's Midweek podcast. I'm Michael Onger. |
| 0:04.3 | Last Friday, Washington State Attorney General Nick Brown sued Kalshi, the so-called prediction |
| 0:10.7 | market platform where users can place bets on real-world events, such as the number of deportations |
| 0:17.3 | this year, or the winner of Survivor 50 or football. |
| 0:21.6 | In calling themselves a prediction market, they're misleading Washingtonians because their |
| 0:26.2 | advertisements talk about a way to bet on the NFL even though we live in Washington. |
| 0:32.2 | They publicly pat themselves on the back for being sneaky and getting around Washington's |
| 0:36.7 | gambling laws. But it's worse than being sneaky and getting around Washington's gambling laws. |
| 0:37.8 | But it's worse than being sneaky. It's a lie and it's illegal. |
| 0:41.3 | Washington's civil lawsuit is now one of 20 waged against Kalshi and follows on the heels of |
| 0:47.3 | Arizona Attorney General Chris Mays filing criminal charges against the company earlier this |
| 0:52.4 | month. Prediction markets generated almost $64 billion in trading volume last year, hooking not |
| 0:59.7 | only Kalshi's reportedly 5 million active users, but also media companies like CNN and Dow Jones, |
| 1:07.3 | which have partnered respectively with Kalshi and Polymarket, another betting platform, |
| 1:12.7 | to incorporate prediction market data in their reporting. |
| 1:16.2 | And in late February, after the U.S. and Israel initiated a series of strikes in Tehran, |
| 1:22.3 | $54 million in bets on Kalshi were spent on wering whether Ali Khamene would be out as supreme |
| 1:29.0 | leader by March 1st, and a single polymarket user later made over half a million dollars |
| 1:34.8 | predicting the death of the Ayatollah. |
| 1:39.0 | Prediction markets are just the intensification of a process that's been slowly transforming our relationship to our |
| 1:45.6 | bodies, our careers, our hobbies, our lives. Everything is now metrics, and we can't stop |
| 1:52.6 | counting them and tracking them and comparing them. But what do we lose out on when we become |
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