The Coming Storm: Why 2026 Looks a Lot Like 1914 | Odd Arne Westad
Hidden Forces
Demetri Kofinas
4.8 • 1.6K Ratings
🗓️ 2 March 2026
⏱️ 55 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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Summary
In Episode 465 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Yale historian and Cold War scholar Odd Arne Westad, author of The Coming Storm, about why the pre-WWI era of multipolarity, imperial decline, and great power rivalry offers a far more instructive — and alarming — historical parallel to today's world than the Cold War, and what must be done to prevent the catastrophic descent into total war.
The first hour explores what went wrong after the fall of the Soviet Union, how the end of the Bretton Woods system helped enable China's economic rise, and the striking structural parallels between the rise of Germany before 1914 and the rise of China today.
Westad and Kofinas also examine the roles that Russia, India, and the United States play in this historical analogy, and how the failure to integrate rising powers into meaningful international frameworks — then and now — has set the stage for catastrophic conflict.
The second hour takes a deeper look at the specific forces that could push the world from strategic rivalry to outright war, including the role of nuclear weapons in a multipolar order, the most dangerous flashpoints — from Taiwan to the Korean Peninsula to the South China Sea and China's border with India — and the underappreciated threat that terrorism could pose as a catalyst for great power conflict.
They also examine the internal political dynamics that boxed leaders into impossible positions before 1914, how frighteningly familiar those constraints look today, and what Professor Westad believes must be done to stabilize the international system before the world faces consequences it is not remotely prepared to confront.
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Episode Recorded on 02/23/2026
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | What's up, everybody? My name is Demetri Kaffinus, and you're listening to Hidden Forces, |
| 0:05.8 | a podcast that inspires investors, entrepreneurs, and everyday citizens to challenge consensus |
| 0:12.1 | narratives and learn how to think critically about the systems of power shaping our world. |
| 0:17.7 | My guest in this episode of Hidden Forces is Aud Arna Westad, one of the world's foremost historians of the Cold War in East Asia, a professional world. My guest in this episode of Hidden Forces is Aude Arna Westad, one of the world's foremost |
| 0:22.3 | historians of the Cold War in East Asia, a professor of history at Yale University, and |
| 0:27.1 | the author of several landmark works on global history, including his latest book, The Coming |
| 0:32.3 | Storm, in which he draws on the turbulent decades leading up to World War I to both |
| 0:37.0 | illuminate and help |
| 0:38.0 | guard against the precarity of the present moment. We spend the first hour of this conversation |
| 0:43.1 | exploring why the Cold War is the wrong historical lens through which the view today's world, |
| 0:47.9 | and why the period between the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the age of multipolarity, |
| 0:53.7 | rapid globalization, imperial decline, |
| 0:56.0 | and great power rivalry offers a far more instructive and frankly more alarming set of parallels. |
| 1:03.0 | We begin by discussing what went wrong after the fall of the Soviet Union, |
| 1:07.0 | how the end of the Bretton Woods system helped make China's economic rise possible, |
| 1:15.8 | and the striking structural similarities between the rise of Germany before 1914 and the rise of China today. |
| 1:18.4 | We also examine the roles that Russia, India, and the United States play in this historical analogy |
| 1:23.8 | and how the failure to integrate rising powers into meaningful international frameworks |
| 1:28.8 | then and now has set the stage for catastrophic conflict. |
| 1:33.6 | The second hour is devoted to a deeper exploration of the specific forces that could push |
| 1:38.5 | the world from strategic rivalry and competition to outright war and conflict, including |
| 1:44.0 | conversations about the role |
... |
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