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WSJ Opinion: Free Expression

The China Crisis: How Bad is it?

WSJ Opinion: Free Expression

Gerard Baker, Editor at Large, The Wall Street Journal

Society & Culture, News

4.6591 Ratings

🗓️ 7 September 2023

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Faced with a real estate crisis, record high youth unemployment, and massive debts at the local government level, how much economic trouble is the People's Republic of China in? On this episode of the Free Expression Podcast, economist and China expert George Magnus tells Wall Street Journal editor at large Gerry Baker about whether China under Xi Jinping’s hardline approach is headed down the same road to collapse as the Soviet Union and what are the long-term consequences for the world economy.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

From the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal, this is Free Expression with Jerry Baker.

0:08.5

Hello and welcome to free expression from the Wall Street Journal Opinion page.

0:12.1

I'm Jerry Baker, editor at large of the journal.

0:14.2

Thanks very much for joining us.

0:15.3

If you're not already a subscriber, please do sign up at Apple's podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

0:21.5

This week,

0:28.4

China's crisis. How serious are the economic woes facing the People's Republic of China?

0:33.1

Over the summer, the scale of the challenges facing Xi Jinping and the ruling Communist Party become dramatically clearer. China, remember, was supposed to bounce back this year after its

0:38.0

disastrously restrictive zero COVID lockdown policy was finally lifted at the end of last year.

0:43.5

But the recovery is really nowhere in sight. Manufacturing activities declining. Exports are falling.

0:49.3

Home prices are down. Consumer prices have dropped into deflation. Youth unemployment has reached

0:53.6

record highs.

0:54.7

Financial instability stalks the country, overbuilt real estate, has produced the collapse of

0:59.3

at least one major real estate company and is bringing down another. Massive debts at local

1:03.7

government level are making matters worse. Things look so grim that the parties are recently

1:08.1

deep-sixth, formerly publicly available economic data.

1:12.7

So what's going on? Is this merely a glitch in China's long progression towards what many

1:17.3

people have long argued would be its global economic ascendancy? Or is there something more

1:21.8

serious afoot? The structural weaknesses and contradictions in its communist parties-led economic model now

1:28.7

laid bare with really serious long-term economic consequences.

1:33.0

What does it all mean for the rest of us, particularly for US-China relations and the strategic

1:37.2

challenge that China poses?

...

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