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Bulwark Takes

The Bulwark’s 2025 Predictions Are Put On Trial

Bulwark Takes

The Bulwark

News, News Commentary, Politics, Society & Culture

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 25 December 2025

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Donald Trump’s first year back in office is in the books, but how accurate were The Bulwark predictions from this past year? Sam Stein is joined by “Judge” Mona Charen to put our 2025 forecasts under the gavel. From Trump’s health and pardons to government shutdowns, MAGA infighting, and political chaos, we revisit what we got right, what we got wrong, and what only deserved half a point.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey, everyone, it's me, Sam Stein, managing editor at the Bullwork, and I am joined by Mona Charon, who for today is Judge Mona Sharon.

0:08.2

That's right.

0:08.7

Let's see the gavel, please.

0:12.0

It's too small.

0:13.1

We needed a bigger one.

0:14.3

Whatever.

0:14.9

We need more Bullwark subscribers so we can get a bigger gavel for next year.

0:20.2

We should run a subscription plea that says buy us a bigger gavel.

0:26.2

Mona is dressed like this because we here at the bulwark believe in accountability more than

0:31.0

anything else, honestly.

0:32.5

And at the end of last year, we went through the staff, had them make a series of predictions

0:36.4

about what would

0:38.1

happen in the year 2025. And now we're going to look back at those predictions and make

0:44.3

assessments about who was right, who was omniscient, and who was terribly wrong. And Mona's going

0:50.3

to be the judge and the jury. Fair enough? This should always be the way of the world.

0:56.0

I should always be judge and jury.

0:58.3

I feel like we already have that.

1:00.0

You don't need to wear this costume.

1:02.1

You already judging me.

1:04.5

But besides...

1:05.0

I want to thank Renita for giving me the costume.

1:08.9

It's really good.

...

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