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TechCheck

The “Bizarro Trade” in Tech, and What Happens if TikTok Is Banned 3/16/23

TechCheck

CNBC

Management, Cnbc, Tech, Faang, Investing, Business, Disruptors, Technology

4.566 Ratings

🗓️ 17 March 2023

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why are tech stocks rallying in the face of bank crises and broader market uncertainty – yields. Bad news is back to being good news for high-growth tech companies, at least when it comes to share price. And what exactly would a TikTok ban – or spinoff – look like, and is it even possible. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript

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0:00.0

So those inflows, they're part of this broader point that I want to make and that is that the tech trade is very suddenly right back on and a lot of the folks that I'm talking to are taken aback by it. Someone this morning called it a bizarre trade because of the speed at which it is happening and

0:14.1

remember this is happening just days after the near after the implosion not

0:18.4

near implosion the implosion of Silicon Valley Bank tech's biggest bank so

0:22.4

what's happening here are a few things.

0:24.2

We've been looking at yields.

0:25.7

Look at the 10-year yield versus, say, the NASDAQ 100.

0:28.6

You can see that it has this very distinct inverse relationship

0:31.4

because just like higher yields put growth prospects

0:34.6

further out those earnings further out in the future, plunging yields are

0:38.2

making the case for growthier stocks, many of which are in the ARC fund.

0:42.1

The ARC fund, let's get to that because it's on nearly $400 million in inflows on Friday

0:47.4

and I believe that's nearly a record since last April.

0:50.9

Of course, that was only a few months, April 2021, a few months before the ARC EDF

0:55.4

hit those all-time highs.

0:56.9

And it's up just this week, more than 4.5%.

1:00.9

So it has really been a big part of this tech trade coming

1:03.9

back online big tech as well this is talked a little bit about this yesterday

1:07.8

guys this flight to safety and these well-capitalized companies that have

1:12.2

fortress-like balance sheets at the expense of some of those

1:15.8

Riskier smaller names and there we get back into the bizarre world guys because everything is working right now in

1:21.0

tech

1:21.7

That's what I was going to ask you, dear,

...

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