The biggest RISK of a record stock market! | Steve Sosnick
Full Signal
Phil Rosen
4.8 • 18 Ratings
🗓️ 27 April 2026
⏱️ 34 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Steve Sosnick is the chief strategist for Interactive Brokers. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss the market response to the Iran conflict, the earnings outlook, software sell off and what has to happen for stocks to move lower.
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Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
00:28 - Rally After Shock
02:26 - Dip Buying Mindset
05:47 - Unprecedented Momentum
08:56 - Stimulus Expectations
11:52 - Fed Put Explained
17:34 - Year End Bear Case
20:40 - Earnings And Guidance
24:56 - Sentiment Disconnect
27:30 - Worst Case Scenarios
30:26 - Defensive Opportunities
33:14 - Where To Follow Steve
33:58 - Thanks Steve For Joining! Like & Subscribe
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#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | We are sitting in one of the craziest market cycles history has ever seen, and that's why I'm |
| 0:04.1 | sitting down with Steve Sosnick. He's the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. He's the perfect |
| 0:09.5 | guy to explain what's happening with earnings, the Iran conflict, the sectors that are winning |
| 0:14.8 | and losing, what's happening with the next leg of the bull market, why he thinks the stock |
| 0:20.3 | market could fall before the end of the year, |
| 0:22.4 | and much more. I learned a ton from Steve in this conversation. I think you will too. |
| 0:28.7 | Steve, I want to start with this ridiculous rally we've seen. We've come all the way back from a pretty low, |
| 0:34.9 | low, I would say. What do you make of all this? We've got all the indexes |
| 0:39.2 | right in your record, Huzz. Well, there's a few things to unpack. First of all, I think it's |
| 0:43.9 | not a coincidence that it happened almost a year to the day after the tariff tantrum from last year. |
| 0:50.2 | And I think that weighed very heavily in investors' minds. |
| 0:55.4 | When I think about like the market reaction to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, this was |
| 1:01.3 | always among risk managers and investors blackest of black swans, that a closure of the |
| 1:07.4 | straits would lead to call a $150 oil and a 10% correction pretty much |
| 1:13.5 | instantaneously in the market and then, you know, some time to unravel. That's not what transpired. |
| 1:20.6 | Yeah, we got dated Brent up to I think 144, so maybe, maybe you could check that box. S&P 500 |
| 1:26.1 | got down I think like 9%, never even 10%. |
| 1:29.3 | We saw steady dip buying the entire way. |
| 1:33.3 | And at the slightest whiff, not even of a resolution to the conflict, but call it a stalemate |
| 1:39.6 | to the conflict, people are pretty much assuming it's done. |
| 1:43.8 | And, you know, we went from having a very |
| 1:45.5 | strong inverse correlation between stocks and oil prices to essentially no correlation between |
... |
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