The Biggest Risk in 2026 (EP. 444)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

News, Investing, Business, Business News

4.8 • 2K Ratings

🗓️ 24 December 2025

⏱️ 68 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On episode 444 of Animal Spirits, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ben Carlson⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ discuss what a normal year in the stock market looks like, time traveling through drawdowns, the case for small/mid cap stocks, how many stocks double each year, record cash balances, the economy keeps growing, financial nihilism, gambling, illiquidity risk in private investments and much more. This episode is sponsored by TradePMR & Fabric by Gerber Life. Find more details on TradePMR by visiting: https://hubs.li/Q03XS3Sj0 Join the thousands of parents who trust Fabric to help protect their family. Apply today in just minutes at: https://meetfabric.com/SPIRITS Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Find complete show notes on our blogs: Ben Carlson’s ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠A Wealth of Common Sense⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Michael Batnick’s ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Irrelevant Investor⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Feel free to shoot us an email at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. TradePMR Disclosure: TradePMR, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Securities offered through TradePMR Inc. TradePMR, Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Please review the full Terms and Conditions at (https://tradepmr.com/asset-match-terms-and-conditions) for the complete rules, requirements, and obligations that apply to participation in the program. Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Today's episode is sponsored by Trade PMR.
0:03.1	As a financial advisor, you're always looking for ways to strengthen client relationships
0:07.2	and demonstrate value.
0:08.9	At Trade PMR, that's our focus too.
0:11.9	That's why Trade PMR has launched the Asset Match program, which we believe is an
0:16.4	industry-first program designed to offer your clients a benefit once exclusive to retail customers.
0:22.7	Through March 31st, we're offering a 50 basis point match on all eligible client deposits into
0:29.0	their trade PMR accounts.
0:31.0	Asset match provides tangible value to your clients will notice and is another example
0:34.8	about trade PMR supports independent advisors.
0:37.2	To learn more
0:37.6	please visit the link in the show notes trade pmr inc member finera sipc securities offered through
0:44.2	trade pmr inc trade pmr inc is a wholly owned subsidiary of robin hood markets ink please review
0:49.5	the full terms and conditions at the link in the show notes for complete rules requirements and
0:53.1	obligations that apply to participation in this program.
0:57.0	Today's episode is brought to you by Fabric by Gerber Life. Every year, Ben, at this time,
1:01.8	as the calendar turns over, people say to themselves, that's it. No more procrastination.
1:07.7	One of those things that people procrastinated about often is life insurance. But guess what? It can actually be quick, affordable, and essential, of course. Fabric by Gerber Life makes it easy to start the year feeling like you've handled something major for your family. Fabric by Gerber Life is termed life insurance you can get done today made for busy parents like you all online on your schedule
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	...

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