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The Journal.

The Big Short: China Edition

The Journal.

The Wall Street Journal

Daily News, Business News, News

4.25.3K Ratings

🗓️ 30 May 2024

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For years, China’s real estate market was booming. Developers, home buyers and Western banks rushed to invest. But the boom turned into a bubble, which eventually burst. WSJ’s Rebecca Feng reports on the warning signs that were ignored and we speak to two people who saw the collapse coming. Further Reading: -The Folly of China’s Real-Estate Boom Was Easy to See, but No One Wanted to Stop It-Evergrande Was Once China’s Biggest Property Developer. Now, It Has Been Ordered to Liquidate. Further Listening: -China’s Property Market Crisis -China’s Evergrande Crisis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

In 2015, a New York hedge fund manager named Parker Quillen went to China to visit a new property development near Beijing.

0:14.0

Can you sort of paint a picture of what you saw?

0:18.0

Well, the first thing we saw from a long way away was the huge tower. You could see it from miles and miles away.

0:27.6

So there was almost this kind of enthusiastic anticipation of, wow, we're going to come to something big.

0:34.0

That tower was due to be China's tallest building.

0:39.0

It was part of a huge luxury development called Golden Metropolitan.

0:44.0

Parker saw office and residential buildings, expensive villas,

0:48.0

and a high-end members club.

0:50.0

There were even plans for an opera house. The style was neoclassical and the

0:56.1

developer said it aimed to convey a sense of an aristocratic lifestyle. So it kind of looked like a mini city? It's definitely a mini city. Okay.

1:06.8

Absolutely.

1:09.8

Parker was on a fact-finding mission.

1:12.6

At the time China's property market was booming.

1:16.2

All kinds of money was flowing in.

1:18.5

But Parker didn't believe the hype,

1:21.1

and he wanted to see what was going on for himself. That's what brought him to Golden

1:26.1

Metropolitan. And I remember speaking to our guide or our host, a nice woman who was oddly dressed in a riding costume

1:37.6

okay the stretchy pants with the leather and all that and I was asking her business questions like how do you plan to get this whole place

1:46.4

occupied? You have a study you could show me that shows a subway line is going in or, you know, there's a tax holiday for 10 years.

1:57.0

What is, what's the reason for people to come here?

2:00.0

And at which point, a smile cracked on my host's face and there was a pause and she nodded slowly and kind of held back for I guess a dramatic effect where we were walking and

2:16.9

discussing this and as we turn the corner she says behold polo.

...

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