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The Breakdown

The Bank of Canada Cuts Rates; Will the Fed Follow?

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Investing, Business

4.8806 Ratings

🗓️ 7 June 2024

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Bank of Canada has moved to cut interest rates, with the markets pricing in additional cuts throughout the end of this year. Will the US Federal Reserve follow suit or are the two central banks dealing with a fundamentally different set of circumstances? Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:09.3

It's a daily podcast on Macro, Bitcoin, and the Big Picture Power Shifts remaking our world.

0:18.4

What's going on, guys? It is Thursday, June 6th, and today we are going macro with some Bank of Canada rate cuts.

0:25.4

Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it,

0:29.0

give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation,

0:32.3

come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod.

0:43.0

All right, friends, well, as I said, today we are going over to the macro side of things, where the Bank of Canada has broken the seal, becoming the first G7 central bank to cut rates.

0:48.5

Rates were reduced by 25 basis points to 4.75% at Wednesday's meeting, with officials

0:53.6

citing significant progress on inflation.

0:55.9

BOC Governor Tiff Macklam said, with further and more sustained evidence underlying inflation

1:00.2

is easing, monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive. He guided further cuts to come

1:05.7

as well, stating, if inflation continues to ease and our confidence that inflation is headed

1:10.0

sustainably to the 2%

1:11.2

target continues to increase, it is reasonable to expect further cuts to our policy interest rate,

1:15.7

but we are taking our interest rate decisions one meeting at a time.

1:19.3

Consensus among economists is that the BOC will continue to cut at each of the four remaining

1:23.3

meetings for this year, bringing rates to 3.75%.

1:26.5

Stephen Brown, an economist at Capital Economics, said,

1:29.6

If we're right that growth will remain below potential and core inflation will fall,

1:33.2

then there will be little justification to maintain a restrictive policy stance.

1:37.4

So this is the narrative being put forward by central bank officials,

1:40.6

that Canada is headed for a soft landing,

...

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