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Decoder with Nilay Patel

The AI industry's existential race for profits

Decoder with Nilay Patel

Vox Media Podcast Network

Business, Technology

4.23.4K Ratings

🗓️ 9 April 2026

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, let’s talk about the looming AI monetization cliff, and whether some of the biggest companies in space can become real, profitable businesses before they careen right off it. My guest today is Hayden Field, who’s our senior AI reporter here at The Verge. She’s been keeping close tabs on both Anthropic and OpenAI, and how these two companies, both slate to go public this year, tell us a whole lot about the AI industry in 2026. Links:  The vibes are off at OpenAI | The Verge Anthropic essentially bans OpenClaw from Claude | The Verge Why OpenAI killed Sora | The Verge OpenAI just bought TBPN | The Verge National poll shows voters like AI less than ICE | The Verge The spiraling cost of making AI | WSJ OpenAI’s Fidji Simo taking leave amid exec shake-up | Wired OpenAI raises another $122B at $850B valuation | The Verge Subscribe to The Verge to access the ad-free version of Decoder! Credits: Decoder is a production of The Verge and part of the Vox Media Podcast Network. Decoder is produced by Kate Cox and Nick Statt and edited by Ursa Wright. Our editorial director is Kevin McShane.  The Decoder music is by Breakmaster Cylinder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Dell PCs with Intel inside are built for the moments you plan and for the ones you don't.

0:06.0

For those early morning news sessions, or when you're on the go and leave your charger at home,

0:12.0

or even the times you need the best processing speed to just get the job done.

0:16.0

Dell built tech that adapts to you.

0:19.0

Built with a long-lasting battery, so you're not scrambling for an outlet.

0:24.0

And with built-in intelligence, that makes updates around your schedule, not in the middle of it.

0:29.4

Find technology built for the way you work at Dell.co.uk, forward slash Dell PCs.

0:35.6

Built for you.

0:42.1

Thank you. Hello, and welcome to Decoder.

0:43.4

I'm Neil I Patel, editor-in-chief of the verge, and Decoder is my show about big ideas

0:46.9

and other problems.

0:48.4

Today, let's talk about the looming AI monetization cliff, and whether some of the biggest

0:53.2

companies in the space can become

0:54.9

real, profitable businesses before they careen right off it.

0:58.6

I guess today is Hayden Field, who's our senior AI reporter here at The Verge, and she's

1:02.3

been keeping close tabs on both Anthropic and Open AI, and how those two companies in particular

1:06.8

tell us a whole lot about the AI industry as a whole in 2026.

1:11.6

You've certainly heard a version of the monetization cliff story before.

1:15.9

Anthropic, OpenAI, and all the other big AI startups

1:18.4

are built off the back of hundreds of billions in capital investment.

1:22.3

And they're linked to even greater amounts of forward-looking investment

1:25.3

in data center buildout, chips, and other infrastructure

...

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