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The Journal.

The AI Economic Doomsday Report That Shook Wall Street

The Journal.

The Wall Street Journal

Business News, Daily News, News

4.25.8K Ratings

🗓️ 27 February 2026

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A viral blog post by a relatively unknown research firm sent the stock market on a wild ride this week. The post by Citrini Research tapped into a new strain of fears about artificial intelligence, painting a dark portrait of a future in which technological change leads to mass white collar unemployment. WSJ’s David Uberti explains why Wall Street is jumpy about the prospects for AI. Ryan Knutson hosts. Further Listening: - The Era of AI Layoffs Has Begun- AI Is Coming for Entry-Level Jobs And listen to Camp Swamp Road, full playlist here.Sign up for WSJ’s free What’s News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Our colleague David Uberti was doom-scrolling on Sunday night, like a lot of us do, when a certain post caught his eye.

0:12.8

I was reading in bed on my iPad this interesting sub-sec post from a financial research firm I hadn't heard of before.

0:22.0

It was published by a relatively unknown firm called Citrini Research, and it was written

0:26.8

like a memo from the future, from June 28, looking back at how artificial intelligence

0:33.2

transformed the economy.

0:35.2

And they basically framed this report as sort of like a postmortem on what happened over the time between the economy. And they basically framed this report as sort of like a post-mortem on what happened over

0:41.0

the time between now and then and how the economy has changed.

0:45.7

It read to me like really good science fiction.

0:48.0

I didn't put it down despite the fact that it was 7,000-plus words long.

0:52.6

The picture the Satrini report painted in the future was bleak.

0:56.0

We described it as a doomsday report, and very much so it was.

1:00.0

In the scenario that they outlined, there was something like 10.2% unemployment across the United States,

1:06.0

which is worse than what it was the depths of the Great Recession.

1:10.0

The report proposed that AI will become so good at writing code and replacing jobs

1:14.9

that it could become very bad for the broader economy.

1:18.2

Basically, the question is not whether like AI is bearish or bullish for the economy.

1:23.1

Is it what if it's so bullish that it becomes bearish?

1:26.3

David wasn't the only one reading the Satrini post that night.

1:29.9

It was going viral, and it was freaking people out.

1:34.0

Pretty soon after the market opened on Monday morning, a lot of stocks that we follow in the

1:39.6

software space, in particular, we're all flashing red on our screens. And when something across the

1:46.0

entire sector is moving in the same direction, it tends to mean something big is happening.

...

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