4.1 • 11.9K Ratings
🗓️ 15 February 2019
⏱️ 18 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | This TED Talk features futurist Juan Enriquez, recorded live at TEDx CERN, 2018. |
0:07.0 | So let me start with Roy Amara. |
0:12.0 | So Roy's argument is that most new technologies tend to be overestimated |
0:17.0 | in their impact to begin with, and then they get underestimated in the |
0:21.0 | long term because we get used to them. These really are days of miracle and wonder. You |
0:26.6 | remember that wonderful song by Paul Simon? There were two lines in it. So what was it that was |
0:31.6 | considered miraculous back then? Slowing down things, slow motion. |
0:39.4 | And the long-distance call. |
0:44.4 | Because, of course, you used to get interrupted by operators who tell you long-distance calling, do you want to hang up? |
0:46.2 | And now we think nothing of calling all over the world. |
0:49.8 | Well, something similar may be happening with reading and programming life. |
0:55.2 | But before I unpack that, let's just talk about telescopes. |
1:01.5 | So telescopes were overestimated originally in their impact. |
1:06.2 | This is one of Galileo's early models. |
1:08.8 | People thought it was just going to ruin all religion. So we're |
1:16.2 | not paying that much attention to telescopes. But of course telescopes launched 10 years ago, as |
1:21.8 | you just heard, could take this Volkswagen, fly it to the moon, and you could see the lights on that Volkswagen light up on the moon. |
1:33.5 | And that's the kind of resolution power that allowed you to see little specks of dust floating around distant suns. |
1:41.2 | Imagine for a second that this was a sun a billion light years away, |
1:45.0 | and you had a little speck of dust that came in front of it. |
1:48.0 | And that's what detecting an exoplanet is like. |
1:51.0 | And the cool thing is the telescopes that are now being launched |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from TED, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of TED and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.