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Squawk on the Street

The 5% Yield Effect, Powell's Fed for Thought, Obesity Drugs: Shots for Kids? 10/20/23

Squawk on the Street

CNBC

Investing, Business, News

4.1567 Ratings

🗓️ 20 October 2023

⏱️ 43 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Sara Eisen explored what's ahead for the markets one day after the 10-year note yield hit 5% for the first time since 2007 -- and Fed Chair Powell addressed the Economic Club of New York about rates and fighting inflation. Earnings also in the spotlight, including results from American Express -- while shares of Netflix extended their rally and Tesla continued to slump following the release of their results late Wednesday. Also in focus: Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly reportedly testing their weight loss drug shots for younger patients, President Biden's $100 billion message to Congress, an update from Tel Aviv on the Israel-Hamas war. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Transcript

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0:00.0

Market insight and analysis. You're listening to the opening bell of CNBC, Squawk on the Street. Good Friday morning. Welcome to Squawk on the Street. I'm Carl Cantonia with David Faber, Sarah Eisen, at post nine to the New York Stock Exchange. Kramer has the morning off. Pre-market is adding a bit to Thursday's losses. Even with yields backing off a touch, 10-year yield below five, Powell's speech seen by some as dovish, but we are going

0:21.8

into a weekend of geopolitical uncertainty, Vixnear 21. A roadmap begins with watch on yields.

0:27.4

Ten-year does cross five for the first time in 16 years. Stock's looking to pull back at the open.

0:33.2

Plus signs of a resilient consumer. Amex beats expectations record revenue for the sixth straight quarter.

0:40.0

And transports continue to be in focus. They're on pace for what would be the fifth straight

0:44.2

weekly loss for that group. CSX reporting a mixed quarter on weaker rail demand. Knight Swift saying

0:50.6

freight demand remains steady. Let's get to that tenure, hitting five, as we said late yesterday, just hours after the Fed

0:58.0

chair's remarks to the Economic Club of New York. This is what he had to say about bonds and rates.

1:04.0

Are we seeing the longer-run bonds, are they increases in rates? Are we seeing those come through in financial

1:11.9

conditions in a persistent way? And I think if you look at financial conditions indexes, the answer

1:16.5

so far would be yes, you are. Persistence will be a matter of just seeing with our own eyes.

1:23.2

But certainly, if you look at financial conditions indexes, they're showing tightening

1:26.9

and it's a lot because of longer rates. he did say a few months of disinflationary data is just the

1:32.5

beginning sarah of what's going to be needed but what did you think of his discussion about term

1:36.2

premium well he mentioned it and he said that that that could be having an impact here on long term

1:40.7

rates my my takeaway on powell was for the doves, they got what they wanted, right?

1:47.3

He didn't make a strong or forceful case for raising rates again this year.

1:51.4

But he did leave the door open for it.

1:53.4

So for the Hawks, he didn't manage to cap long-term bond yields.

1:57.6

So there was a little bit of both, but I think overall the message was he's content

2:01.3

to wait and see, like some of his colleagues on the Fed are. But, you know, David did mention that

2:07.3

if the data continue to come in strong, they're resolute on inflation, they're proceeding

...

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