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The Breakdown

The 3 Blockers to Powell's Soft Landing

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Investing, Business

4.8806 Ratings

🗓️ 10 May 2023

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We got our report card today! Inflation surprised to the downside, coming in at 4.9%. NLW explores the reaction and why Powell still has three big barriers to getting his soft landing, including, notably, the debt ceiling negotiations.  Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribeto the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:09.3

It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.

0:18.4

What's going on, guys? It is Wednesday, May 10th, and today we are talking about the inflation

0:24.0

print and what it means for the tightening cycle, how it relates to the debt ceiling negotiations,

0:30.1

and all that juicy macro stuff. Before we get into that, a quick note. If you were enjoying

0:36.3

the breakdown, please go subscribe to it,

0:38.2

give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversations,

0:41.9

come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link of the show notes or go to bit.ly slash

0:46.5

breakdown pod. Also, go check out Bitcoin Builders. We did a show on BRC 20 over the weekend,

0:53.2

and we have a new interview with Jason Meyer that

0:55.3

just dropped this morning. But back to today's show, this week has seen a lot of interesting

1:01.5

fallouts and consequences of last year's crypto chaos. For example, SBF resurfaced with the

1:08.6

request to the judge in his case to throw out seven of the charges he's

1:11.8

accused of. I'm reminded of the line from Dodgeball. It's a bold move, cotton. Let's see how it works out for

1:17.2

him. On top of that, one of 2022's last institutional hanging chads in DCG is in a murky situation

1:24.1

as it goes into mediation around Genesis debt payments that come due this month.

1:29.0

Then there are the reports that big market makers like Jane Street and Jump are pulling away

1:33.3

from the crypto markets after finding themselves facing intense above the surface and likely

1:38.0

behind the scenes political pressure. We will be discussing all of this this week, but today

1:43.0

is inflation day and so we're going to take a quick detour into the macro.

1:47.7

Now, to give a sense of where we are, last week at the FOMC meeting, we got what some folks described as a hawkish pause.

1:57.1

Obviously, the headliner was that the Fed raised rates.

...

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