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The Conversation with Dasha Burns

The 2016 postmortem

The Conversation with Dasha Burns

POLITICO

News, Politics, Government

4.01.6K Ratings

🗓️ 11 November 2016

⏱️ 53 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

POLITICO’s Kristin Roberts, Charlie Mahtesian, Scott Bland, Ken Vogel, Eli Stokols and Hadas Gold discuss what the pollsters got wrong and how the media should course correct. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the political nerd cast where we bring you inside the stories of the White House and geek out on the amazing circus of American politics. Yes, we changed the intro, but I'm committed to that clown music. It's Thursday, November 10th, and I'm Kristen Roberts National Editor.

0:25.0

Here are the numbers that mattered this week.

0:27.0

53.

0:28.0

That's the percentage of white women Donald Trump won.

0:31.0

6.6 million, the number of people who voted for Obama in

0:35.1

2012 who did not vote for Clinton. 240, the number of Electoral College votes

0:40.9

that the Republican National Committee's own model predicted as Trump's ceiling, and 2.3%.

0:47.0

That's the percentage of American newspapers that endorsed Trump.

0:51.0

So grab your calculators and enjoy the Politico Nurdcast.

0:56.8

Here we go again. Hello Charlie Matessian.

0:59.3

Hi, Kristin.

1:00.0

Hey Scott Lamb.

1:00.9

Hello. Eli Stoccles.

1:02.1

Hadask Gold. Hi. And Ken Vogel.

1:05.4

Psych to be here in Trump's America. This is our election post-mortem episode. We'll run

1:10.9

through the numbers that we think yielded the Republican sweep.

1:14.1

Remember to send us questions about 2016 for next week's Q&A show.

1:19.0

Send them to nerdcast at politico.com.

1:21.4

Now our first data point. 53. That's the percentage of white women,

1:26.6

Donald Trump won. 53 percent. This represents the beginning of the story of the failure of the pregame predictions.

1:34.5

Charlie, this is a group Clinton was supposed to win.

1:38.0

And anecdotally, we knew Clinton had problems with white women, both young women and women of my age and older, but not the kind of

...

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