The 17 Things I Am 100% Certain About | Frankly #60
The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
Nate Hagens
4.8 • 552 Ratings
🗓️ 12 April 2024
⏱️ 20 minutes
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Summary
Recorded April 8 2024
Description
In this week's Frankly, Nate offers a list of things he is absolutely certain of… or as certain as any human can be. Each of us has grounding beliefs about the reality around us with which we shape our outlook on the world and how we'd like to interact with it. How will planetary and energetic limits interact with human society and culture in the future? Can we recognize truisms about our world without becoming closed off to ways of learning and understanding? What are the fundamental realities of the world around us - and how do they constrain our pathways for the future?
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good evening. I am back with Frank for this week's frankly. So what are you 100% certain about |
| 0:11.2 | in the world, in your life? What do you have absolute certainty of? I'm going to list some things that I'm 100% certain about and why that is important |
| 0:26.7 | and why some things I'm less certain about in this week's, frankly. |
| 0:34.0 | I am 100% certain that humans are delusional. |
| 0:40.1 | Social confidence, even overconfidence has been adaptive, |
| 0:45.4 | and uncertainty takes up our mental bandwidth. |
| 0:49.0 | So I'm human, and therefore I'm delusional and overconfident about something. |
| 0:56.1 | So as confident as I am about all the things I'm about to say, it's not really 100%. |
| 1:03.5 | It's 99.something just in case I'm missing something. |
| 1:07.4 | By definition, we don't know our own blind spots. So I'm less confident |
| 1:13.8 | than my feelings would suggest. I am 100% certain that those people in our world who are |
| 1:24.0 | extremely worried about climate change and those people that think our changing |
| 1:28.7 | climate is either not human cause nor important or urgent. |
| 1:35.4 | Those two groups of people, I'm 100% sure they cannot both be right. |
| 1:42.7 | A secondary implication of that is I'm 100% certain that modern culture will never unify its |
| 1:49.6 | behaviors and policies and actions around climate change or any environmental issue. |
| 1:57.2 | Something I'm less sure about, but still pretty hefty, confident, maybe 80%, 90%, is that |
| 2:05.6 | the Holocene Anthropocene Thermal Maximum will be a thing that will certainly occur in the |
| 2:12.6 | coming century and play out over thousands of years will be the most significant event in human history, |
| 2:19.6 | barring nuclear war. |
| 2:23.1 | Though it might take a thousand years to play out, it's going to absolutely become irreversible |
| 2:28.6 | this century and maybe soon this century, and that this is the actual barrier to the survival of conscious life |
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