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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

The 10 BEST Picks for Your Fantasy Football Drafts

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Fantasy Sports, Sports

5.0784 Ratings

🗓️ 17 August 2024

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Win Your League with the Blueprint: https://bigenergysports.com/big-energy-page/


The 10 BEST Picks for Your Fantasy Football Drafts

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're probably here because you have a fantasy draft coming up soon, and I'm here to help you out because in this video, we're talking about the 10 best picks to help you win your fantasy draft.

0:08.0

And for what it's worth, I've helped over 10,000 people win their drafts the last few years alone, and I plan to do the same in this video for you. And I want to start with the Houston Texans, specifically their wide receivers. and I actually want to look at the guy who goes off the board last amongst their starting three receivers,

0:04.0

Nico Collins, Stefan Diggs, and I'm looking at Tank Dell as one of the 10 best picks this year in drafts, and here's why. It was Tank Dell last year who in his completed games, 10 of them led the Texans and targets and fantasy points, more than Nico Collins. And now, despite that fact, Tank Dell goes as the 64th overall player in drafts, he goes in the fifth or six drafts while nico collins right now is going 30 picks earlier now if you're not familiar too much with tanked del obviously played in those 10 completed games last year but he's been productive at every stop of the way you could take it back to college where he finished his college career at the university of houston with two 1300 years years through two 1300 yards seasons he ends up going in the third round of the NFL draft. And then right away in the first preseason game, he pops off for a big role. And then as a rookie, he has a rookie season. In his rookie season, he ranked 14th in yards per outrun, 18th in fantasy points per game. And he had a top 12 finish and 40% of his completed games. A stud. Now, of course, the obvious counterpoint is that, but yeah, now he has target competition. Nico Collins, who was also great last year, a top 20 receiver in efficiency, a top 15 overall wide receiver and fantasy is still there, a top 10 receiver in fantasy. Stefan Diggs, the aging veteran, sure, but also a productive player for the past five to six to seven years. He's now there as well.

1:27.9

And now I do get these concerns, especially with Diggs, a target hog. If you look at his last seasons, 160, 154, 164 targets. He's now in this offense. I get that, but Diggs is also 30 plus years old coming off of one of his four seasons and now has to adapt to a brand new offense, whereas Tank Dell, younger, coming back into this offense where he had success last year.

1:27.8

Here's the thing. I'm not ready to just claim Stefan Diggs. and now has to adapt to a brand new offense, whereas Tank Dell, younger, coming back into this offense where he had success last year.

1:46.2

Here's the thing. I'm not ready to just claim Stefan Diggs and even Nico Collins has better overall wide receivers with CJ's shot on this offense than Tankdell, because that wasn't the case last year. And a lot of people will point to the fact that Tank Dell is smaller, but this has really never shown up on tape. Last year, he was averaging 15.1 yards per reception.

1:43.1

Winning downfield, playing on the outside 70% of the time.

1:45.7

Top 20, basically. has really never shown up on tape. Last year, he was averaging 15.1 yards per reception, winning downfield, playing on the outside 70% of the time, top 20 basically, and downfield production last year. So I'm not really concerned with him winning or not getting a role on the outside. He's going to play on the outside in this offense. In fact, that's exactly what we saw in the first preseason game. The starters played six snaps here. Tankdale played four of them, but these four snaps were on the outside. They were on the outside and Stefan Diggs got moved into the slot. Now, here's the thing about this. You can see right here that it was Stefan Diggs and Nico Collins who played 100% of the starter snaps. You can see in this column here, and Tankdale only got four. So he played four out of the six. In two wide receiver sets, it was Diggs and Collins on the field. This makes some sense, but I don't think that will be the case all year long. Again, this is just a six snacks snap sample. The important part, Dell was on the outside and three wide receiver sets, which is something that the Houston Texans are going to primarily be using this year. So as of right now, yes, I like Tink Dell in the fifth or six rounds as a third Texans wide receiver for a guy who was what, five, six years younger than Stefan Diggs and showed the upside last year. Now going into an offense that should be taking another step forward in year two under C.J. Stroud. One of the best picks is one tanked out. And another great wide receiver pick and a similar round of drafts is the number one target for Trevor Lawrence this year, and that is Christian Kirk, who last season, this offense in Jacksonville, threw at a top 10 rate, and I expect, based

3:10.8

on their offseason moves, that they'll do the same this year. And believe it or not, Christian Kirk goes right now even after Tank Dell, who might be the wide receiver one on his team, but he also could be the wide receiver two or three. Christian Kirk is the number one receiver on his team. he's going after tankedel he's going after guys like keen and allen when keen and

3:06.5

allen is going to have much more difficult target competition with the bears you can see right

3:10.0

here of course, DJ more than number one receiver. Roman Dunezay, a top 10 pick, who if by the end of the year is a number one receiver, you wouldn't be shocked. And then you have Christian Kirk's competition nowhere near the same. It's a rookie and Brian Thomas Jr. who had a big catch in the preseason game, but for the most part hasn't had a great camp.

3:41.4

It hasn't been bad, but it just hasn't been spectacular. And Gabe Davis, who over the years in Buffalo, Gabe Davis, really hasn't been all that great. If you were to see right here, Gabe Davis, if we scrolled through his production over the years, not the most athletic player, he was never able to top 100 targets with Josh Allen in that offense. and that's what Stefan Diggs taking a lot of attention.

3:39.1

Never was a consistent producer downfield.

3:41.2

This is not a guy that I think is going to threaten Christian Kirk's role. Now, it wouldn't be shocked if the rookie Brian Thomas did threaten this role. He's a unique player. He's 6 foot 3, 209 pounds. You can see right here on player profiler. Then you go over to his athletic testing for 3-3 speed, right? This is a guy that in college he he kind of just won with this speed downfield. He has long strides to get by defenders. That's what he somewhat did in the preseason game with a 41-yard reception, but he also came back to the ball. His ball tracking looked pretty good there. Not shocked if he sees a big role, but still, I think Christian Kirk is the security blanket in this offense. And if you look at a lot of the underlying stats for

4:30.8

Christian Kirk, this is a guy who has been productive. He's been a top 20 efficiency receiver the last two years. He's been targeted on third downs and four first downs often by Trevor Lawrence. Last year, he was 33rd in fantasy points per game, but this is skewed because he left a couple of games early and only scored three touchdowns, which was a career low. But if you factor in all of this and the fact that now Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones are gone,

4:29.5

you're going to see an up But if you factor in all of this and the fact that now Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones are gone,

4:49.8

you're going to see an uptick this year in terms of priority in the offense for Christian Kirk. Now, in the preseason game, you can see right here. It was Brian Thomas, so this is the nine snaps with the starters. Brian Thomas and Gabe Davis played those nine snaps. Christian Kirk only played seven. So some people are concerned that Christian Kirk is not going to be on the field in two wide receiver sets.

4:47.3

And in this game, that was Thomas and Gabe Davis. But here's the thing. We saw this happen last year. Christian Kirk was only used in the preseason in the slot. Regular season started. He's a starter in two wide receiver sets. I think the Jaguars are just trying to see Brian Thomas out there for more reps. And that's what's happening here. But we'll track this. And if we look at the offseason moves here, obviously we mentioned Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones. The receivers are gone.

5:04.3

They brought back in Gabe Davis. They ended up signing or drafting Brian Thomas and some free agents. I believe based on all the offseason moves of not really signing a new running back and free agency of only drafting a late round running back on the offensive line being a little bit sketchy when it comes to run blocking. This team is still going to be throwing at a top

5:40.1

10 rate, which obviously helps their potential number one of receiver, Christian Kirk. He's one of the best picks in fantasy. And perhaps my favorite overall pick and fantasy drafts right now, the most mispriced player who goes in round seven or eight of drafts is Jay Lamour and the Pittsburgh Steelers running back and here's the deal with Warren. This is a guy, I've said it before.

5:37.0

This guy last year ended up finishing as a top 30 running back, and here's the deal with Warren. This is a guy, I've said it before.

5:54.3

This guy last year ended up finishing as a top 30 running back. He put up over 1,200 yards while playing less than 50% of the snaps. While being a backup or in a split backfield, he put up one of the most productive fantasy seasons on a per touch basis last year. And here's the deal. Yeah, he finishes the running back 29 on that 50% snapshot, only scored four touchdowns.

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